Bumping one's own thread (especially after such a short time) is bad form...Bump, any suggestions?
Bumping one's own thread (especially after such a short time) is bad form...Bump, any suggestions?
True but I was surprised I didn't get any responses initially and was impatientBumping one's own thread (especially after such a short time) is bad form...
Or if they do get one both WP and NATO will try to get them in their respective campsSince realistic local enemies, except Albania, are basically all either NATO or WP countries, this guarantee would likely have exactly zero value (no one is going to buy "we need nukes to deter potential Albanian invasion").
A non-aligned nuclear power in Europe is not going to be allowed, period (I think this is also why Sweden dropped her military nuclear program by the way).
That's quite alright; you were good enough to acknowledge it, in any caseTrue but I was surprised I didn't get any responses initially and was impatient
Sorry
If they manage that, all bets are off. Engineered coups are a very distinct possibility. But NATO is very unlikely to countenance a WARPAC Yugoslavia, especially a nuclear one. Likewise, WARPAC would see a closely NATO aligned Yugoslavia as a major security concern.Or if they do get one both WP and NATO will try to get them in their respective camps
If they manage that, all bets are off. Engineered coups are a very distinct possibility. But NATO is very unlikely to countenance a WARPAC Yugoslavia, especially a nuclear one. Likewise, WARPAC would see a closely NATO aligned Yugoslavia as a major security concern.
That has chances to trigger WWIII.
Maybe, although even that is going to be very difficult because of the likely lack of trust between the parties.Sounds like the only option would be some sort of joint operation.
To which the Serbs answer by nuking Paris, London and finding a way to smuggle a nuclear bomb into New YorkIf somehow the Serbs launch a nuke on, say, Aviano (where US nukes are stored by the way), NATO will respond with extreme prejudice, up to and including nuking Belgrade possibly.
To which the Serbs answer by nuking Paris, London and finding a way to smuggle a nuclear bomb into New York
To which the Serbs answer by nuking Paris, London and finding a way to smuggle a nuclear bomb into New York
Oh yes just make the Americans switch from military targets to every population center with a Serbian majority. Not to mention what the French or British would do...
Dude, Belgrade is most of serbia. Thats like destroying everything east of the missisipi and then trying to deter the remaining US from retaliating by threatening california. Even if you somehow bluffed the (surviving?) serbian government the military at the time is in the hands of intensly nationalistic fanatics who just saw their home destroyed. Any scenario that sees one nuke used is gonna see them all used.
Don't.More generally, you weren't allowed to do that sort of things during the Cold War in Europe's general neighbourhood, unless you were Israel.
Pakistan started developing nuclear weapons because it has just collapsed into two pieces with a full-scale civil war including ethnic genocide.The difference is that India and Pakistan haven't yet collapsed into full-scale civil wars and ethnic/religious genocide (though there are unfortunately some people who want to see this happening).
There would be zero NATO involvement in Yugoslavia. Zero. The only nations crazy enough to attack a nuclear weapons state were ultranationalist Arab and Argentinian dictatorships. The JNA will have a completely free hand to do whatever it wants within Yugoslavia. In fact, when the 1990s come around Yugoslavia is probably getting complete debt forgiveness and bundles of foreign aid just to keep it from falling apart, so there might be no war anyways.Aircraft will most likely be used alongside Luna M missiles. Low kiloton yield in any case.
Poorly. Yugoslavia was heavily dependant on foreign assistance and loans, without which it would fall appart in civil war.
Serbs may use it in 99 against Tuzla since they attempted an attack on the airport because it was used by NATO during bombing. They'd most likely threaten it's use in order to give themselves more time to finish ethnic exterminations and displacements.
They'll get isolated and turn into North Korea.
There would be zero NATO involvement in Yugoslavia. Zero. The only nations crazy enough to attack a nuclear weapons state were ultranationalist Arab and Argentinian dictatorships. The JNA will have a completely free hand to do whatever it wants within Yugoslavia. In fact, when the 1990s come around Yugoslavia is probably getting complete debt forgiveness and bundles of foreign aid just to keep it from falling apart, so there might be no war anyways.
The last time Pakistan had a civil war of ethnic cleansing they had the full support of the United States. And that was before Pakistan had nuclear weapons. Only foreign involvement was from India, the eternal enemy that Pakistan ended up attacking pre-emptively.Seriously doubt that. If Pakistan was going trough a civil war of ethnic cleansing you bet there’d be involvement.