Yugoslavia with Nuclear weapons

Khanzeer

Banned
WI in the 60s Yugoslavia start a nuclear program clandestinely and by early mid 1970s have developed nuclear weapons

1 what delivery vehicles will they likely use ?
2 how will it affect their foreign relations?
3 any affect on the disintegration as it happened in OTL
4 if they still stay nonaligned how will it change the cold war?

Thanks
 
1) They did. As in, Yugoslavia had a (semi-)clandestine military nuclear program.
2) IIRC, it was stopped cold when the Soviets found out, told the Italians (who immediately started considering their own program) who in turn told/let it be known to the Americans. At which point, again, IIRC, both Moscow and Washington sent Belgrade (and Rome) a few classified memos amounting to "Hell, NO, really, DO NOT DO THAT".
 
1. Soviet
2. Badly
3. I don't think they would use them, although Serbs might be crazy enough. But there will probably be massive intervention by other nuclear powers to prevent these things from being used on eachother by threathening them with retaliation. Once the dissolution is done(however) there will probably be enough pressure to destroy the nukes and make it a nuclear free region.
4. Certain powers will want them as allies, as another nuclear detergent. This will make another chainlink in the already large and versatile chain of the cold war.
 
More generally, you weren't allowed to do that sort of things during the Cold War in Europe's general neighbourhood, unless you were Israel.
 

JSchafer

Banned
Aircraft will most likely be used alongside Luna M missiles. Low kiloton yield in any case.

Poorly. Yugoslavia was heavily dependant on foreign assistance and loans, without which it would fall appart in civil war.

Serbs may use it in 99 against Tuzla since they attempted an attack on the airport because it was used by NATO during bombing. They'd most likely threaten it's use in order to give themselves more time to finish ethnic exterminations and displacements.

They'll get isolated and turn into North Korea.
 
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Me when I realize that the Balkans are going to become an even larger clusterfuck with nuclear weaponry
 

Khanzeer

Banned
WI Yugoslav develop their own program but give " no first use " guarentee to both NATO AND USSR /WP?

Main purpose to prevent to deter unilateral external attack by local enemies

Will they be able to buy A7 , mirage 5 or other aircraft capable of carrying nukes from the west?
 
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WI Yugoslav develop their own program but give " no first use " guarentee to both NATO AND USSR /WP?

Main purpose to prevent to deter unilateral external attack by local enemies

Will they be able to buy A7 , mirage 5 or other aircraft capable of carrying nukes from the west?
IMHO:

NO.
 

Khanzeer

Banned
The difference is that India and Pakistan haven't yet collapsed into full-scale civil wars and ethnic/religious genocide (though there are unfortunately some people who want to see this happening).
Yeah let's hope not , partition was bad enough

Nukes should also mean a stronger central govt in Belgrade and less likelihood of civil war?
 
A nuclear armed Yugoslavia is one that the rest of the world has a vested interest in keeping more stable, so any sort of collapse is going to look a lot different if it happens at all.
 
A nuclear armed Yugoslavia is one that the rest of the world has a vested interest in keeping more stable, so any sort of collapse is going to look a lot different if it happens at all.

Best case scenario: Yugoslavia breaks up more like how the Soviet Union did.

Worst case scenario: Civil war and ethnic cleansing plus nukes!
 

Khanzeer

Banned
A nuclear armed Yugoslavia is one that the rest of the world has a vested interest in keeping more stable, so any sort of collapse is going to look a lot different if it happens at all.
Danke
That is what I was alluding to
Much like balkanization of Pakistan would be a very scary scenario
 
At the very least you'd have seen NATO, Russia, and the neighboring countries intently interested in any options to secure or destroy the Nukes if and when the country starts breaking up, and probably cooperating to do so.
 
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