Your opinions on what would happened to the USSR in 91'

1st Scenario:

Gorbachev doesn't resign on December 25th, 1991.
(In my opinion, nothing much would have changed if he resigned later, as the Soviet Union was basically non-existent in reality, but in existence by law.) (Newspapers mostly refered to the USSR as the Former Soviet Union since September-Oct 91')

2nd Scenario:

Alizmazhov (Supreme Soviet of the Republics of the USSR) doesn't sign declaration 142-H of the dissolution the Soviet Union, and creation of the CIS)
 
`honestly you have go keep the dissolution from happening .. but as that Ukraine wasn't going to stay, plus the Asian republics.. and the fact that even the Russians left.. the coup was the nail driver here.

once you have the internal meltdown .. it dosnt matter.. especially if they don't succeed like in Otl.

could the soviet union press forward, of course. Russia, Belarus, maybe a few of of the other republics. but Ukraine was needed to make things work. that's 60 million people.


the Baltics can go, no real loss to the union besides pride and well crap we are not the Russian empire anymore.



problem is that the coup is what shut the door on the soviet union. they tried to turn back the clock.. failed.. so everyone said.. tovarissh. spasibo .. drank a round of vodka and went on their way. the majority new that the corpse was dead and something new needed to be born of it, problem was no one new nation wanted to be second fiddle. CIS is just giant customs and military coop zone. its too late to salvage by this point, the warsaw pact is done.. east Germany is going its own new way .. Ukraine is done with the USSR. what is left of an empire built on fear and repression... answer, nikto, nechavo.. nada, zilch..

so signing the papers means 2 thins.. jack and crap..

by this time you would have whole sale revolt internally if the soviet army rolled on Belarus, the Baltics or Ukraine or into the warsaw pact. the game is over.

honestly, you need tto prevent Chernobyl .. that is the straw that broke the belief and trust banks. waiting 3-4 days to evacuate and warn people showed how much the government cared. Now lets tak on a coup de tat. yeah .. game over.

on the other side if you are loking for a time line that goes screwed up.. sue have them enforce the union with tanks. Russian . soviet / Russian civil wat 2.0 is sure to end well
 
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