Still a capital ship in a [partially] protected port. If the Germans can sink a ship there then the RN has to have concerns about the loss of more and more valuable ships off Norway.
Steve,
Those concerns, and Forbes had them in spades, didn't stop the RN from sending nearly the entire Home Fleet into Norwegian waters during the first week of April.
Renown and 4 destroyers left on April 5th to cover three separate mine laying forces comprised of 7 layers and 8 destroyers. Forbes followed with
Rodney,
Valiant,
Repulse,
Sheffield,
Penelope, a French CL, and 10 destroyers on the 7th. When evidence of German fleet movements began to grow, the already embarked troop contingents were removed from the several cruisers and those vessels dispatched along with
Warspite and many others.
Are you suggesting that the carriers aren't committed? One of the weaknesses of them is that to work they must do this, at least before powerful steam catapults, which will give lurkers opportunities.
Forbes didn't even both to take
Furious, his only available carrier, with him because she had no fighters embarked.
Ark Royal and
Glorious didn't arrive from the Med until April 22nd and when they did arrive they were sent to Norway without hesitation. The only carrier loss was due to gunfire and it occurred because D'Oyly-Hughes was such a great hurry to get back to Scapa so he could begin court martial proceedings against his air commander that he wouldn't change course to allow the launch of scout planes.
The loss of
Courageous in '39 obviously didn't make the RN gun shy with regards to U-boats and the dozens of U-boats dispatched to Norway didn't manage to do a goddamn thing anyway. As I already pointed out, there was a U-boat in the Narvik fjord and yet
Warspite waltzed in and out with nary a care.
On that we're definitely in agreement. However as Markus says with a 10-4-40 POD that's virtually impossible.
Agreed. Once the R4 troop contingent was disembarked on the 6th and the cruisers involved sent to sea, there's little chance of getting Allied troops to Narvik early enough and in any numbers to prevent it's eventual loss.
You can do better, win some time and possibly increase German naval losses further but you risk markedly greater losses if things go wrong.
To aircraft and gunfire, yes. Any sinkings by U-boat will depend on luck, as with
Courageous off the Western Approaches in '39.
Having the RN catch the Germans would hinge on Forbes and others in the British chain of command coming to a much earlier realization that German naval assets were in the process of invading Norway and not attempting a breakout into the Atlantic. Forbes' attention was understandably fixed on his own minelaying operation off Narvik and any possible German breakout so his dispositions were made with those two things in mind.
Having Churchill and Pound uncharacteristically avoid micromanaging operations could help as their interference - especially the direct order to Forbes canceling his proposed April 9th attack on the Germans disembarking at Bergen - frittered away any chances the Allies may have had.
Bill