[Yet More] Pre-TL Help: What would happen to California?

Hey Guys,

I've made two other threads and hopefully this will be the last one. Now I need help on Mexican California (specifically Alta California).

Without any major settlement by Americans, and no Texan rebellion until the 1850's, what would happen in California? The American settlers there and other factors caused the United States to go to war with Mexico, but in my TL the Americans have no land border with Mexico in the north. The British do and within Mexican Texas there's a high amount of settlers from the British West Indies starting from the 1820's. While in Mexican California there is a gradual influx of settlers from Asia in general from the 1830's (but mainly centered around OTL British Raj) and also a small amount from Oceania.

But the settlers from these places only make up a small amount of California's population by the 1850's and so nothing major to go along with the Texan Revolution. So what would happen to California here? With no Anglo-Mexican War until the 1870's and no 'Manifest Destiny' causing the British North America in this TL to want to take all the land it can get, would California just go independent in the end due to the different nationalities? (Those being primarily Chinese, Indian, British/Canadian, American and Mexican.)
 
I'm finding it a little hard to figure out why Alta California would be the settling area of people from the West Indies. It is an extremely agricultural based region which isn't going to be attracting a lot of people without something like the Gold Rush.

The local Californios were getting sick with being ignore by Mexico City by the late 1830s and 1840s. California is isolated during this period from the rest of Mexico by very difficult terrain and more travel and commere is done by ship. By the mid-1840s prominent Californio landowners were mulling over the idea of requesting annexation by either Britain or the United States.

I really doubt that the Chinese would be willing or welcomed to travel to California in what you have given us so far about your ATL. They came because of jobs and oppurtunities, which isn't there in days of Old California. The Californios also continued the requirement that in order to settle there one has to convert to Catholicism.
 
Thank you for this information :)

I also made this thread to show my general plan in the hope someone could point out to me what may be wrong about it (such as the Chinese immigrating there.)

So what could happen in order to make California independent? It can't go American due to no easy way of getting to it, and not the British as that's simply too cliche-ish for me.
 
So what could happen in order to make California independent? It can't go American due to no easy way of getting to it, and not the British as that's simply too cliche-ish for me.

Without the influx of another society, as seen in the settlement of American settlers for example, its likely that an independent will develop pretty much the same way as most Latin American states did. The socio-economic structure of the haciendas, etc. is similar to those in Central and South America. California would be a 'banana republic' most likely.
 
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