WWII Finishes Mid-1944 and the US Presidential Election

I've been considering a timeline where things generally go much better for the Western Allies so that Germany and Japan are both defeated roughly a year ahead of our timeline in, for the sake of this thread, May and August of 1944 respectively. What if any affect might that have on the 1944 US Presidential election? Both parties conventions will take place after VE Day but before VJ Day so I don't think that would see many changes when it comes to the candidates, although I could well be wrong, but the election itself will now be taking place roughly three months after VJ Day. Would FDR's personal popularity/being viewed as having helped win the war still see him be elected to a fourth term or would his now not being a wartime leader allow Dewey more latitude and a shot at actually winning?
 

nbcman

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I've been considering a timeline where things generally go much better for the Western Allies so that Germany and Japan are both defeated roughly a year ahead of our timeline in, for the sake of this thread, May and August of 1944 respectively. What if any affect might that have on the 1944 US Presidential election? Both parties conventions will take place after VE Day but before VJ Day so I don't think that would see many changes when it comes to the candidates, although I could well be wrong, but the election itself will now be taking place roughly three months after VJ Day. Would FDR's personal popularity/being viewed as having helped win the war still see him be elected to a fourth term or would his now not being a wartime leader allow Dewey more latitude and a shot at actually winning?

By early 1944, FDR's health was beginning to fail. I doubt that he would have ran (or had been permitted to run) for re-election if WW2 was winding down in spring/summer of 1944.
 
By early 1944, FDR's health was beginning to fail. I doubt that he would have ran (or had been permitted to run) for re-election if WW2 was winding down in spring/summer of 1944.

Even if his health was good, he wouldn't run. He saw it as a sort of responsibility to see the US to victory. Sadly, he wouldn't see it to that IOTL.

I'd say the Democrats would nominate someone like Truman or Forrestal. The Republicans would nominate Dewey. If the war is winding down, I'd expect Wallace to go third-party. As for the winner, I lean towards Dewey. He ran a very strong campaign in 1944 IOTL, but he was facing FDR so obviously he lost.
 
... if WW2 was winding down in spring/summer of 1944.
Would the war really be considered to be winding down though? The war in Europe might be over but this is three months before the atomic bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, the Soviet invasion of Manchuria, and Japan's surrender. The invasion of Japan was expected by Western military planners to be a long, bloody, slugfest which, as I understand things, up until very shortly before the atomic bombings was still being extensively planned in the expectation of it happening.
 
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