If a WWI were to happen after the Russo-Japanese war and during the Moroccan Crisis, what are the odds of the alliances winning? Are the entente or the central powers in a better position?
Well, the entente alliance is much less robust than OTL and Russia has less time to recover from the war with the Japanese. Overall time is on the Entente's side thus the earlier the war happens the more screwed the entente powers (especially Russia) are.
Serbia and Montenegro will only join in if the Entente is about to crush A-H otherwise they will stay out. Britain will stay neutral unless Belgium is invaded which it probably will as the Schlieffen plan already exists at this point and France-first strategy is favored in the German military.If the war is between Germany, Austria-Hungary vs France, Russia... how likely is it for Serbia, and Montenegro to join the entente and Britain to stay neutral in the first few years at least?
Well, the entente alliance is much less robust than OTL and Russia has less time to recover from the war with the Japanese. Overall time is on the Entente's side thus the earlier the war happens the more screwed the entente powers (especially Russia) are.
Well, it looks like Conrad was right about something after all.