WW2 timeline, what do you think?

I'm new on this forum, so I don't really know how this works.

Welcome!

Well let's see... for a layman it sounds plausible enough. But serious students of WW2 history will pick it apart like I'm about too.

27 May 1940 – For one day only, part of the BEF is evacuated from Dunkirk before Germany finally closes the pocket, forcing the majority to surrender after bloody fighting.
By May 27th, the British would have established a solid all around defensive line on favorable terrain. The Germans would not have been able to break this and reach the port before the BEF gets away and would take heavy losses in the process.

A move earlier in the week offers a better chance for this, although success is still not guaranteed.

July 1940 – The Battle of Britain begins as German fighters try to gain air superiority over the island. Over the next few months, the RAF is severely weakened, opening the way for strategic bombing operations by the Germans.
How? The British quite handily won the battle OTL thanks to good pre-war preparations and solidly professional leadership while the German plan was from the outset cripplingly flawed.

10 March 1941 – Germany launches Operation Barbarossa, the invasion of the Soviet Union, with 3 million men, along with their eastern European allies and Vichy France. ‘Volunteers’ from still neutral Italy and other countries flock in the hundreds of thousands to join the ‘crusade against bolshevism’.
In reality, this results in Barbarossa immediately bogging down. All the snow that builds-up March and April are the time of the Spring Raputitsa, which renders large scale offensive action by armies impossible. In 1941, it was also longer then usual due to the spring rains persisting into May. The Germans in March '41 also have not built up as much in terms of combat power and logistics. They'll stall almost immediately with heavy losses and blow the element of surprise.

By the time the ground dries in mid-June, the element of surprise will have long worn away and the weaker Germans (from the losses and expenditure of supplies in March) would find themselves confronted with a fully mobilized, massive Red Army entrenched in great depth who have already accumulated a certain amount of combat experience breaking the initial German assault in favorable weather and the subsequent skirmishes. This means that Barbarossa becomes a slow grind eastwards which runs out of steam just east of Minsk. By failing to break into the major Soviet agri-industrial regions, the Germans also leave the Soviets with roughly double the amount of industrial capacity they did OTL which can now be fully focused against the Germans.

A Japanese reconnaissance aircraft violates Soviet airspace, prompting the Soviet high command not to divert troops from the Far East for fears of an imminent Japanese invasion, opening a second front.
Given that all of the relevant Siberian forces were not drawn from the Soviet Far East, this represents little change.

The USA steps up its Lend Lease program to the UK, but doesn’t send anything to the Soviets for fear of public outcry to supporting a non-democratic regime.
The US would still extend lend-lease in November 1941, like OTL. That the Soviets were non-democratic mattered less to the American public then the fact they were fighting Germans.

After consideration, Hitler decides not to declare war on the USA, claiming the tripartite pact only applies to defensive wars.
The US likely declares war on Germany anyways. Pearl Harbour neatly murdered the Isolationist movement in America and the Germans were very much seen as in cahoots with the Japanese even before Hitler declared war. Even if that is not enough, the next incident between a German U-Boat in the Atlantic and an American vessel in a convoy to Britain leads to the American public focusing all that anger over Pearl Harbour upon Germany, with a subsequent DoW. Since the US are now allies with Britain against Japan, Roosevelt would have a free hand to ship whatever he wants to Britain, sent on and guarded by whatever ships he wants, and with free reign to shoot any German submarine which refuses to surface and identify themselves on the assumption that they are Japanese (and therefore expose themselves to being sunk by the inevitable Royal Navy vessels which are also hanging around the convoy) that incident would likely come in the first few months of 1942.
 
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I too would like to know the causative factors in a more successful German Battle of Britain, and I spent 5 minutes looking up the Soviet weather conditions in March 1941, which was heavy rains, flooding and swollen rivers. Then, I gave up. Sorry, I'm old and have trouble concentrating.
 
Welcome,
A few problem I have with it as it just wanders off into ASB,

- strategic bombing operations by the Germans are not going to be much better than OTL LW (or USAAF/BC) attempts...

- without med war GB is much stronger even if it lost more in FoF, Malaya might not fall, win BoA early etc...

but doesn’t send anything to the Soviets
- don't have to the British can pass it over for them, they started sending stuff before the US....

not to declare war on the USA
-as poster above...

Britain has been slowly rebuilding its air infrastructure since they lost the Battle of Britain, and finally starts to attack German strategic bombers. Until now, German bombers have been flying relatively safely over British industrial areas, and have become complacent, taking huge losses in the first few days and weeks of the British air counter-offensive, dubbed the ‘Second Battle of Britain’, but soon begin fighting back, downing many allied fighters. Meanwhile, Britain sends its first major, organized strategic bombing run over the Ruhr region, although its effectiveness is debatable, and with a lot of losses.
- ekkkkkk this is pure ASB for a start what bombers ? they should be in russia by now ? and just how did they destroy fighter command for 2 years ????
Wake Island, inflicting over 50,000
- Can you fit that many on such a small island !!!!
Churchill resigns from office, saying “We may have saved Britain from German expansionism, but we have lost Europe.” His successor, Halifax, begins negotiation with Hitler
- why with US LL you are going to win if you dont fold in 40/41 you will not do so later...
Hitler orders German scientists to begin work on their own nuclear weapons, sending spies into the USA.
- like that's going to work read about "Jewish" science and Nazis spy's !
 
I just wanted to come back to say that in the, well, almost a year since I joined, i've seriously refined my knowledge of this period. I almost want to rewrite this, but the amount I time it took...
 
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