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If the British take Tripoli before the Afrika Corps can be despatched
- lets say through
an earlier British offensive or avoiding despatching forces to Greece
whatever
-
it may not be possible for the Axis to land a force in Libya to retake Tripoli.
Hitler might abandon supporting the Italians in Libya.
Might siezing Malta become more important.
Might they sieze Tunis - summer 1940 - if they do, does this require the occupation of Vichy if indeed the Germans have the forces to do so - if Barborossa has begun. Might it forestall Barborossa if not.