World War II beginning delayed

Instead of WWII beginning in 1939 with German invasion of Poland, Germany embarks on a naval arms race with Britain much like before World War I. It already has received Austria and Sudeti, and uses this to raise industrial output. How large are fleets likely to be in 1945 - 1947, when war starts?
 
Germany would actually be in a worse condition to win the war.
In 1939 France and Great Britain both felt the war approaching and were getting their military in shape. Production, supply and demand had not yet caught up in 1939 and 1940 but it was slowly getting there.

Add in the greater industrial capacity of Britain and France, not even counting the USSR Commonwealth and America, combined with the shortages in Germany for raw war materials and it is clear that Germany would have been severely outproduced.
 
Instead of WWII beginning in 1939 with German invasion of Poland, Germany embarks on a naval arms race with Britain much like before World War I. It already has received Austria and Sudeti, and uses this to raise industrial output. How large are fleets likely to be in 1945 - 1947, when war starts?

The problem is that the German economy was already hurting from the Nazi’s crash militarisation, to have them embarking on an even more extensive program of rearmanent isn’t viable.
 

Anchises

Banned
Instead of WWII beginning in 1939 with German invasion of Poland, Germany embarks on a naval arms race with Britain much like before World War I. It already has received Austria and Sudeti, and uses this to raise industrial output. How large are fleets likely to be in 1945 - 1947, when war starts?

Germany was in no economic position to start the war later than early 1941 I think. I am not exactly sure how long the Nazi economy was sustainable but 1945-1947 was in no way possible without a major economic crisis.

You need massive butterflies and a much earlier POD to have a new naval arms race.

And I see no way for a strong army and airforce then. And no way for the Reichsmarine to actually threaten the RN.
 
So basically, Germany economically implodes. Would that implosion force the war, or prevent it?

Either/or. It’s more likely to prevent it though since by the time the implosion sets in the odds would be so obviously against Germany that the Wehrmacht would be more likely to try and launch a coup to prevent it.
 
So basically, Germany economically implodes. Would that implosion force the war, or prevent it?

Personally i believe that it would have prevented the war. Hitler's move on the Sudetenland was a political necessity. 5 years into power he had effectively created a common enemy (the Untermensch) and a war based economy. Both were lopsided and Hitler needed success across the border to keep his momentum.

With a naval arms race the war economy will become even more lopsided and this may actually weaken Hitler his position and bring about a regime change or at least civil unrest.
 
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