Without the Huns moving westward, how large could a Gothic state conceivably get?

Pretty much as the tin says, assuming the Huns invade and conquer China and thus don’t move westward, how large could the Gothic state located in OTLs Romania and the Ukraine conceivably get?
 
A possible route of expansion I’m thinking is into Poland and Belarus.

Another would be eastward since there is a theory that Gothic expansion eastward was what originally led them into conflicts with the Huns. So without the Huns moving west, we can see a continued Gothic march east into the Steppe.
 
I think Ermanaric's "empire" was as large as it could get without major adjustments - according to some accounts, it was quite huge; far larger than any other single Germanic polity before or even after their settlement on Roman soil.
 
I think Ermanaric's "empire" was as large as it could get without major adjustments - according to some accounts, it was quite huge; far larger than any other single Germanic polity before or even after their settlement on Roman soil.

So you think the Orange is the largest it will get for a while?

Chernyakhov.PNG
 
Given that the Huns were the starting piece of the domino of barbarians that fell on top of the Roman Empire, can we expect the western half of it to survive longer than 81 years after being separated from the eastern one?

Where does this leave the Slavic peoples long-term?

That depends on whether Avars, Bulgars or Magyars had the numbers to shift the ethnographic map of Europe westwards like Huns did in OTL, but it's almost certain that they're going to move south, how much is up to debate, when the Little Ice Age starts.
 
Given that the Huns were the starting piece of the domino of barbarians that fell on top of the Roman Empire, can we expect the western half of it to survive longer than 81 years after being separated from the eastern one?

I’d say it survives longer. There would be no Huns pushing the vandals into Africa so the WRE never loses its breadbasket
 
Why and how are the Goths able to deflect the Huns?

Depending on that answer, the question of Slavic migration is to be viewed consequently.
If, for example, the Goths are able to install themselves long-term as overlords both of the Bosporan Greeks and of various still fully nomadic groups, and integrate both long-term as auxiliaries into their kingdom's military forces (e.g. a Bosporan Gothic navy and Alano-Gothic horseback bowmen), then I'm sure they're also able to allot a place to the slash-and-burn agriculturalists of the Northern forests which the Slavs were, exacting tribute from them for "protection", recruiting mercenaries and/or a white water fleet (rowmen) from among them? (Is that realistic by this time already?)

If the Goths merely deflect the Huns by sheer luck with OTL's political structures, then they're going to fall to the next wave (Avars?). That would already have changed enough, for example stabilising the Roman Empire in a critical moment, so that Roman policies regarding the Pontic steppe could be more proactive again in the 5th century.
 
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