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Thanks to the early development of the national infantry and introduction of the shot and pike formations (and everything else including a competent leadership) France is winning the Italian Wars without a major Hapsburg opposition (distraction by the Ottomans, Reformation in Germany, early Dutch rebellion, bankruptcy of Fughers, early death of Gonsalvo de Cordoba, whatever).

There are 3 possible scenarios:

1. Conquest of Naples by Charles VIII holds (with or without Sicily).

2. Louis XII conquers and hold Naples (but not Sicily held by Spain) and Milan.

3. Francis I conquers and holds Milan.

What would be the long-term consequences for France, Italy and Europe in general?
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