WI:;Zygmunt II August has a son

No Union of Lublin. It only happened because:

-nobility of Poland was afraid, that after childless death of SA union would break, thus there is need to tighten ties between Poland and Lithuania to prevent it.

-Sigismund Augustus himself suported Union of Lublin and gave up his hereditary rights to Lithuania to make it possible. He'd never do it if he had a son.

-Lithuania was losing war against Ivan IV. Bad military situation of Grand Duchy of Lithuania left Lithuanians with no better choice than to accept conditions of Union of Lublin.

If Sigismund Augustus has a son then only last point remains.
 
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No Union of Lublin. It only happened because:

-nobility of Poland was afraid, that after childless death of SA union would break, thus there is need to tighten ties between Poland and Lithuania to prevent it.

-Sigismund Augustus himself suported Union of Lublin and gave up his hereditary rights to Lithuania to make it possible. He'd never do it if he had a son.

-Lithuania was losing war against Ivan IV. Bad military situation of Grand Duchy of Lithuania left Lithuanians with no better choice than to accept conditions of Union of Lublin.

If Sigismund Augustus has a son then only last point remains.
Maybe, but Poles would still want Ukraine and other areas the Crown gained after the Union.
 
Maybe, but Poles would still want Ukraine and other areas the Crown gained after the Union.
Ukraine was given to Poland by Zygmunt August to break Lithuanian resistance against Union of Lublin.
Before it became clear, that Jagiellon rule is going to end soon, both sides were content with status quo, that lasted from the time of Horodło.
 
No Union of Lublin. It only happened because:


-Lithuania was losing war against Ivan IV. Bad military situation of Grand Duchy of Lithuania left Lithuanians with no better choice than to accept conditions of Union of Lublin.

If Sigismund Augustus has a son then only last point remains.
And to be fair, this last point was quite important.

No Union of Lublin. It only happened because:

-nobility of Poland was afraid, that after childless death of SA union would break, thus there is need to tighten ties between Poland and Lithuania to prevent it.

-Sigismund Augustus himself suported Union of Lublin and gave up his hereditary rights to Lithuania to make it possible. He'd never do it if he had a son.
In 1569, King was still not so old - he was about to enter his 50's and by this time, OTL he still hoped for a son.

So it's still possible that SOME Union will be formed. After all, Execustionist movement was already active for decades. Of course, it's eventual form will be hard to predict, since there is no way that King will just accept all postulates in this timeline.
 
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