Is there anyway to have a Yugoslav Civil War to occur in the early to mid-1930s that resembles Spain?
To what extent would the foreign interventions be other than what you just mentioned?What do you mean by “resembles Spain”? If you meant that it would be a war between a leftist Popular Front and a far-right coalition then no. If Yugoslavia had a civil war it would be an ethnic war. There would definitely be foreign interventions, but those would be Italy, Bulgaria, and Hungary marching in to fulfill their irredentist goals, not anything like the Condor Legion or the International Brigades.
What could happen to the rest of Yugoslavia?Yugoslavia's Neighbors will take their choice picks and Italy will turn Croatia into a client state
Finlandized into an Italian Sphere. Albania is an either a Italian client state or a part of Italy. Croatia, Hungary, and Bulgaria are all Italian allies and would be hostile to any Serb attempts to reform Yugoslavia.What could happen to the rest of Yugoslavia?
What happens to Serbia?Finlandized into an Italian Sphere. Albania is an either a Italian client state or a part of Italy. Croatia, Hungary, and Bulgaria are all Italian allies and would be hostile to any Serb attempts to reform Yugoslavia.
Likely under it's monarchy and some kind of dictatorship. Yugoslavia would be reduced to OTL Serbia with bits of Bosnia and maybe Montenegro if Italy doesn't rip it off in some military intervention and minus what Hungary took in world war 2.What happens to Serbia?
There are also several hundredthousand of ethnic Germans in Yugoslavia. A Civil War in the 1930 would trigger a German reaction.Is there anyway to have a Yugoslav Civil War to occur in the early to mid-1930s that resembles Spain?
Yugoslavia's Neighbors will take their choice picks and Italy will turn Croatia into a client state
They were also allied with Czechoslovakia, and would they really want to go war over parts of Dalmatia when Germany is remilitarizing.France is closely allied to Yugoslavia.
They were also allied with Czechoslovakia, and would they really want to go war over parts of Dalmatia when Germany is remilitarizing.
It's 12 years at the earliest since the end of world war 1. Not to mention Italy and Co could portray Serbs as the oppressors of the various people in Yugoslavia.Leaving aside how "little gallant Serbia" will be resonating so few years after the end of the Great War with the French and western public in general which will be way more than the Czechs could hope for,
They also had a treaties with Czechoslovakia which they broke, not to mention they allow Germany to break treaty of Versailles and the Munich agreement. They also allowed Italy to invade Ethiopia and Albania.France doesn't have much more option than
German and Polish threats along with blocking arms and resources could dissway Czechoslovakia while Soviet threats along with being surrounded by Hungary in the West and Bulgaria in the South could dissway Romania .if it moves will have to deal with Czechoslovakia and Romania, both allied to Yugoslavia
Turkey doesn't have any territory claims same on Bulgaria same with Greece also Greece doesn't have an alliance with Yugoslavia .Bulgaria is most inconveniently sandwiched between Greece, Turkey and Romania risking a repeat of the 2nd Balkan war...
France is closely allied to Yugoslavia. If Italy invades it, civil war or no civil war France is going to intervene in turn. Bulgaria and Hungary counting on timing would trigger Little Entente and Balkan Entente intervention.
It's 12 years at the earliest since the end of world war 1. Not to mention Italy and Co could portray Serbs as the oppressors of the various people in Yugoslavia.
They also had a treaties with Czechoslovakia which they broke, not to mention they allow Germany to break treaty of Versailles and the Munich agreement. They also allowed Italy to invade Ethiopia and Albania.
German and Polish threats along with blocking arms and resources could dissway Czechoslovakia while Soviet threats along with being surrounded by Hungary in the West and Bulgaria in the South could dissway Romania .
And why exactly would Poland, itself closely in the French orbit will be taking any action at all against the Little Entente under the circumstances? Germany issuing threats... at any time before 1938 Germany cannot back any threats and knows as much. Besides even from the German perspective Italy has been the main power stopping absorbing Austria. The likely German action is to take advantage of the mess Italy has found itself to effect anschluss, not to antagonize the Western powers early. As for the Soviets at the time they are doing their best to play and be accepted as a status quo power joining the League of Nations in 1934 and the Franco-Soviet treaty of mutual assistance in 1935. So again not very likely to be helping fascist Italy in any way.
As for Hungary and Bulgaria posing a military threat on Romania and not the other way round, the Honved till 1938 was all of 7 mixed brigades with two infantry regiments each, call it charitably the equivalent of 7 Italian binary divisions, maybe. The Bulgarian army stood at 8 divisions after 1934. Romania on the other hand could mobilize 33 infantry divisions and 4 mountain brigades. Or roughly a 3 to 1 advantage against Hungary and Bulgaria combined (107 infantry regiments to 38)
Turkey doesn't have any territory claims same on Bulgaria same with Greece also Greece doesn't have an alliance with Yugoslavia .
Both Greece and Turkey are allied to Yugoslavia and Romania (Balkan pact of 1934). Both also had a vested interest at the time in keeping Bulgaria from becoming a threat again, hence the Greco-Turkish alliance treaty of 1933. Greece also had informal arrangements with Yugoslavia, Thessaloniki was supposed to be the main route of western supply to Yugoslavia and the Little Entente in case of war.
Yes because a French Guarantee of independence was worth SO MUCH in the 30's.
As well as when they proved all too willing to sell out Ethiopia in 1935.Yes. As seen by the French selling down the Poles down the road and not declaring war when Poland was invaded.