WI: Yuan Shikai lives longer

Yuan Shikai was what is considered to be the last official emperor of China. After managing to consolidate his power in the first chinese republic as a military dictator, Yuan proclaimed himself emperor in late 1915, in hopes of being accepted by the chinese public, but the reaction was the opposite of what he expected. Civil unrest alongside into warlords breaking off from the central government happened, marking the more definite start of the warlord era. Yuan died from uremia in june 1916.
But what if Yuan had lived longer?
-could his survival pave the way for a monarchist warlord state centered in Beijing?
-i hear that, despite the warlord chaos, many factions of the chinese military remained loyal to him. So what happens with them?
-how large was Yuan's support group within China? How easy is it for him to be assassinated?
-this could lead to odd international affairs. Would most of the western world recognize Yuan's state as the official chinese government?
 
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yourworstnightmare

Banned
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Considering the chaos in Northern China during the early warlord era with cliques and generals vying for power succeeding each other in quick succession, and considering Yuan Sikhai was about as popular as malaria I don't see him able to hold on to power for long. However what we might see is instead of wahtever warlord that resides in Beijing gathering an ad hoc "parliament" to get himself named President, or Defender of the State, or whatever title he fancies, we might have them just be proclaimed "Emperor" in quick succession.
 
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Even more decentralization and breakdown. Yuan was absolutely loathed when he died, and he wasn't much more liked when he was alive. People weren't going to follow an usurper when they could just rule over their own areaas as warlords.
 
What if he hadn't gone for the Emperor title and instead avoided anything like that? Would it have done him any better?
 
What if he hadn't gone for the Emperor title and instead avoided anything like that? Would it have done him any better?
I'm by no means certain, but I suspect it would. First off, you've refrained from overthrowing the government. Second off, you've refrained from announcing your ambitions to becoming emperor, stalling out, and then backing down. The former delegitimized him. The latter illustrated him as powerless. Then again, for Yuan to remain merely president... You'd need to swap his personality.
 
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