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What if the 1901 assassination attempt on Sun Yat-Sen's partner in Hong Kong had failed? If it's plausible, assume he lives at least another dozen years.
Possibility - could the attempted 1903 Guangzhou Uprising, which Yeung’s successor Tse Tsan-Tai had tried to put together circa 1902, have gotten further? Even if the attempted Great Ming Heavenly Kingdom is crushed by the Qing, how could a rebellion causing trouble around this time affect things?