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Could there be an earlier overthrow of the Qing? And please not the Taipings.

I would go with

a. White Lotus Rebellion of 1796–1804?
b. Or Eight Trigrams uprising of 1813. The latter of which breached the imperial palace itself.
c. Zeng Guofan, Marquis Yiyong. after defeating the Taipings according to legend was handed a note of "What will you do now? Now will you wear yellow?" He proceeded to eat the note rather than let anyone see it. What if he got the idea to topple the Qing there?

Could this lead the China to modernize?
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