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Something I saw on reddit inspired this mini-scenario I've hacked together. Tell me what you think of it.

POD: Emperor Maurice does not command his troops to winter across the Danube, without food and exposed to the Avars. As a results, he keeps his throne for a few years and then his son and co-Emperor, Theodosius, succeeds him in a tidy succession, say in 610. In those 8 years, Maurice manages to resettle the Balkans with Armenians, as wiki tells me his plan was, peace is maintained, and the Empire's finances are restored.

That being said, I want to keep a partial butterfly net around Arabia. Muslims history progresses as per our timeline to the death of Muhammad in 632, but then Khalid ibn Al-Whalid, seeing that Rome and Persia are stronger than they were in OTL (no long-running war to exhaust them) decides to leave Persia alone and focus on a conquest of Byzantium. The Levant and Syria are taken in 637 and then Egypt two years later.

Persia holds firm against later Muslim attacks, as do the Byzantines in Anatolia, though the Arabs manage to hold onto their gains, and a decade later they conquer the rest of North Africa. Less over stretched and blocked in the east by Khosrau II's successor, the Muslim conquest of Visigothic Spain begins decades earlier and barrels over the Pyrenees, forcing the Franks to submit to their rule and even setting fire to Rome itself.

Maybe that last bit was a step too far. The Egyptian Copts rise in rebellion and create their own Miaphysite Egyptian Kingdom which after a decade of separation from and a long history of tension with Constantinople has no desire of rejoining Rome. In Europe the Arabs manage to put down Christian uprisings, and are now masters of North Africa, Spain, Gaul, and parts of Italy, along with Arabia, which is cut off from the rest of the "Muslim World."

The Christian world, meanwhile, consists of the Balkans, Anatolia, and Egypt. Northern and Eastern Europe is still pagan, as is Anglo-Saxon Britain. What will happen with the Christianity of Ireland and the Britons is anyone's guess.

So, what do you guys think of this?
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