WI US did not pull back allies in Suez?
Can UK & France even keep the Canal operating? Can Nasser import arms through Alexandria?
A range of possible consequences, what do you think is most likely:
A) Nasser overthrown. Somebody comes in who makes a deal w/ the west. The "EdenWank"
B) The USSR militarily intervenes. Sending volunteers, naval, nuclear war.
"The KhrushchevWank"
C) Nasser does prolonged guerrilla resistance. Has moral support of Arab and East Bloc, but alignments are not very upset. (Saudi and Libya remain pro-US, etc). UK/France withdraw after a few years in frustration (definitely by 62’, probably much sooner), and Nasser cannot address Israel in Sinai until he is done with UK and France in Suez.
D) Because fighting continues in Egypt, Jordan and Syria join in on Nasser’s side attacking Israel, Israel wins a swift victory, gaining 1967 borders, and UK is in a quandary. Israel begins doing the activities of ’67. Gush Emunim and settlements start. Peace Process as we know it starts, but involving UK and France.
E) Jordan and Syria attack Israel, but Israel is less capable in 1956 than 1967, and the Arab Legion is stronger. Israel gains some or all of West Bank and Jerusalem (maybe only up to ridges) but Palestinian population largely flees or is driven out in fighting.
F) Jordan and Iraq and maybe eventually Gulf States have pro-Nasser or pro-communist revolutions. In Jordan’s case, this leads to war and loss of the West Bank in ;56 or '57.
G) Maybe something like D, E or F occurs, but the Arabs arm up for another round in the late 1950s early 1960s. This begins an earlier, less effective, oil embargo. More alternate fields are developed. Alternate technologies funded in the 1960s, on par with space program.
H) Most of the Arab Middle East goes pro-Soviet, more sensitivity to energy issue in US from mid-50s onward.
Can UK & France even keep the Canal operating? Can Nasser import arms through Alexandria?
A range of possible consequences, what do you think is most likely:
A) Nasser overthrown. Somebody comes in who makes a deal w/ the west. The "EdenWank"
B) The USSR militarily intervenes. Sending volunteers, naval, nuclear war.
"The KhrushchevWank"
C) Nasser does prolonged guerrilla resistance. Has moral support of Arab and East Bloc, but alignments are not very upset. (Saudi and Libya remain pro-US, etc). UK/France withdraw after a few years in frustration (definitely by 62’, probably much sooner), and Nasser cannot address Israel in Sinai until he is done with UK and France in Suez.
D) Because fighting continues in Egypt, Jordan and Syria join in on Nasser’s side attacking Israel, Israel wins a swift victory, gaining 1967 borders, and UK is in a quandary. Israel begins doing the activities of ’67. Gush Emunim and settlements start. Peace Process as we know it starts, but involving UK and France.
E) Jordan and Syria attack Israel, but Israel is less capable in 1956 than 1967, and the Arab Legion is stronger. Israel gains some or all of West Bank and Jerusalem (maybe only up to ridges) but Palestinian population largely flees or is driven out in fighting.
F) Jordan and Iraq and maybe eventually Gulf States have pro-Nasser or pro-communist revolutions. In Jordan’s case, this leads to war and loss of the West Bank in ;56 or '57.
G) Maybe something like D, E or F occurs, but the Arabs arm up for another round in the late 1950s early 1960s. This begins an earlier, less effective, oil embargo. More alternate fields are developed. Alternate technologies funded in the 1960s, on par with space program.
H) Most of the Arab Middle East goes pro-Soviet, more sensitivity to energy issue in US from mid-50s onward.