WI: United States Doesn't Overthrow Mossadegh

Pretty much what it says on the tin. I understand that you wouldn't have Ayatollah Khomeini, and probably the situation would be much better right now. But what would have happened?
 
I personally don't think Mossadeq had very good chances of staying in power on his own. His coalition comprised of a rather unwieldy alliance between the Ulema and leftists like the Tudeh who more or less began to abandon him during his downfall.

I think MI6 and the CIA get way too much credit for Mossadeq's collapse, as the original coup attempt failed and the officers involved were arrested by Mossadeq's men. Kermit Roosevelt seemed to exaggerate the CIA's role when a second move against him materialized, primarily because his refusal to back down on the Nationalization crisis was causing the economy to screech to a halt.

Mossadeq is going to have to find some way for the British to stop blockading their oil on the global market, or else a mob/coup is going to overthrow him eventually. Maybe if he somehow managed to convince the Americans to rein in the Brits. However, he didn't really seem to be able to do that OTL.

Also, Soviet involvement is not to be overlooked. While I personally don't believe Mossadeq was a Communist sympathizer, the Tudeh were in his coalition and were receiving tons of support from the KGB. I've read that the Tudeh was one of the biggest Communist parties in the Third World, and Iran had about 50 newspapers that were Socialist/Communist. The Soviets tried to reinsert themselves in Northern Iran in 1946, and only when the US threatened to bomb them did they back off.

Having a Peoples' Republic of Iran would be a dream for the Soviets plan of dominating the Middle East with client-states. So the KGB may engineer a coup of their own against him.
 
The UK and US as well would still have been peeved at Mossadegh for his nationalization of the oil assets, so I could see Iran taking a neutral state in the Cold War.
 
I personally don't think Mossadeq had very good chances of staying in power on his own. His coalition comprised of a rather unwieldy alliance between the Ulema and leftists like the Tudeh who more or less began to abandon him during his downfall.

I think MI6 and the CIA get way too much credit for Mossadeq's collapse, as the original coup attempt failed and the officers involved were arrested by Mossadeq's men. Kermit Roosevelt seemed to exaggerate the CIA's role when a second move against him materialized, primarily because his refusal to back down on the Nationalization crisis was causing the economy to screech to a halt.

Mossadeq is going to have to find some way for the British to stop blockading their oil on the global market, or else a mob/coup is going to overthrow him eventually. Maybe if he somehow managed to convince the Americans to rein in the Brits. However, he didn't really seem to be able to do that OTL.

Also, Soviet involvement is not to be overlooked. While I personally don't believe Mossadeq was a Communist sympathizer, the Tudeh were in his coalition and were receiving tons of support from the KGB. I've read that the Tudeh was one of the biggest Communist parties in the Third World, and Iran had about 50 newspapers that were Socialist/Communist. The Soviets tried to reinsert themselves in Northern Iran in 1946, and only when the US threatened to bomb them did they back off.

Having a Peoples' Republic of Iran would be a dream for the Soviets plan of dominating the Middle East with client-states. So the KGB may engineer a coup of their own against him.

The sovs finally get their warm water port.

Bad news for the Cold War.
 
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