Unlikely to happen unless something pretty catastrophic happens to the Chinese government. If you want to keep Hong Kong you'd be best to go much further back, and there may have been a chance to do so. Allow me to quote myself from another thread:
So as this is the after 1900 section you could possibly run with Lugard's scheme. Unfortunately for the other way, we're just two years out from fixing of the lease, so bad luck there.
Also, from another thread, there's this weird idea which was briefly cooked up by the civil service (doesn't hold on to HK, but effectively creates a new one!):
Sargon
Incidentally, there have been at least two times in history when the New Territories might have been acquired in perpetuity. One was during the 1898 negotiations itself where the 99 year lease was almost casually fixed as a figure, and the second was in 1909 when Sir Frederick Lugard, Governor of Hong Kong, floated the idea of returning the British concession of Weihaiwai to China in exchange for the permanent acquisition of the New Territories. However, the Colonial Office didn't like the idea and binned it. Weihaiwei was returned to China in 1930. As part of such negotiations it may have provided an opportunity to address the status of the enclave of Kowloon Walled City as well.
So as this is the after 1900 section you could possibly run with Lugard's scheme. Unfortunately for the other way, we're just two years out from fixing of the lease, so bad luck there.
Also, from another thread, there's this weird idea which was briefly cooked up by the civil service (doesn't hold on to HK, but effectively creates a new one!):
Also, things get even weirder when you consider the proposal to create a "new" Hong Kong in Northern Ireland:
UK officials discussed resettling 5.5m Hong Kong Chinese in Northern Ireland
Archives reveal debate in 1983 over bizarre idea of moving millions of Chinese to Northern Ireland at height of Troubles ahead of colony’s handover to Beijing
Right, I think I've delivered the goods for this post. Have fun.![]()
Sargon