WI: U.S. Grant dead in September 1863?

On September 4, 1863, General Grant was in New Orleans for a two-day military review held in his honor by Nathaniel Banks following the fall of Vicksburg. However, near disaster struck the Union that day. Grant, despite a reputation for excellent horsemanship, was mounted on an unfamiliar and rather violent steed he was riding rather quickly throughout the day. In the evening, as he returned to a hotel with his officers, the horse was likely spooked by a locomotive whistle and promptly fell on Grant, who was able to remain in the saddle, with “great violence”. Grant was rendered unconscious, and awoke later in excruciating pain being attended by several physicians as one side of his body swelled from above the knee to the armpit. After nearly a week bedridden, Grant returned to Vicksburg, still injured and receiving wide accusations of drunkenness. Most of us know what happened henceforth. But what if Grant, one of the Union’s greatest assets for his strategic genius and indomitable will, was indeed killed that day? Indeed, Lincoln has lost his great captain. How will the Chattanooga Campaign develop (assuming Chickamauga retains its OTL result)? Is it guaranteed Halleck remains general-in-chief? What about the 1864 campaign in Virginia with Meade still in overall command?
 
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The Confederates would probably lose on all fronts. Meade could be more cautious, so Lee might be able to stretch things out for longer, but Meade was not McClellan; his considerable advantage would probably be reassuring enough for him to go on the offensive. I don't really know that much about the Chattanooga Campaign, but the Union would probably win there like in OTL. Grant was a great general, but the Union still had Sherman and other commanders who would be able to use their clear advantages to grind the Confederates into the ground.
 
The Civil War was not a war of great generals advanced popularly thought, but a war of attrition and production. Save a miracle from the devil, the South is doomed.
 
The Civil War was not a war of great generals advanced popularly thought, but a war of attrition and production. Save a miracle from the devil, the South is doomed.

Indeed the CSA lasted as long as they did less because of good generals but because of terrible generalship on the Union part (looking at you McClellan).
 
This doesn't necessarily equal to a Confederate win, but it greatly improves the odds. For one, the Military Division of the Mississippi might not even exist. The Union armies that fought the Atlanta Campaign might be fighting separate campaigns in 1864. Without Grant, Meade might not have adopted Grant's movement to the James, which trapped Lee in Petersburg. The Army of the Cumberland might even be forced to surrender at Chattanooga in 1863 if Grant was not present to handle the concentration of the Western Theater armies. While the Cracker Line was not Grant's idea, it is uncertain as to whether or not the dispersed Union armies could have concentrated and implemented the plan without Grant. These are some of the things that I imagine could happen.
 
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