WI: Tsar Paul Lives

WI assassin's fail to kill tsar Paul would a concrete Franco Russian alliance have happened. What would future Russian and European history look like with a Paul as tsar
 
WI assassin's fail to kill tsar Paul would a concrete Franco Russian alliance have happened. What would future Russian and European history look like with a Paul as tsar

There would probably be a strong and lasting Russia-France alliance. This would completely change the course of european and maybe world History.

This means this alliance would dominate Europe and deter Austria and Prussia from going into coalitions with Britain.

This also means Napoleonic France would not over-extend because Russia could not accept most of Germany becoming a french protectorate.

And this makes highly likely a joint russian french operation against british India. This expedition still has a high probability of ending in failure. But Britain will anyway be forced to come to terms with with such a powerful and solid continental alliance.
 
Sophie always blamed her oldest Son Alexander for letting the Assassination happen

It fails and she has Paul remove Alex and Konstantine from the line of Succession

These two were taken away as children to be raised by their grandmother Catherine the way she thought rulers should be raised

So using the attempt as a pretext those two are removed as possible Czars

Nicholas now becomes the heir presumptive

Sophi is the true power behind the throne
 
Sophie always blamed her oldest Son Alexander for letting the Assassination happen

It fails and she has Paul remove Alex and Konstantine from the line of Succession

These two were taken away as children to be raised by their grandmother Catherine the way she thought rulers should be raised

So using the attempt as a pretext those two are removed as possible Czars

Nicholas now becomes the heir presumptive

Sophi is the true power behind the throne

Well Paul didn't like/trust Alex anyway, and it was rumored that Paul's creation of Konstantin as Tsetsarevich was the prelude to him disinheriting Sasha. However, Paul was assassinated before anything concrete was done, and besides, if Paul hadn't promulgated the Pauline Laws, the Emperor could name his successor. Sasha wouldn't be happy about it, and there might be some conflict between Sasha and Kostka when Paul kicks.
 
Well Paul didn't like/trust Alex anyway, and it was rumored that Paul's creation of Konstantin as Tsetsarevich was the prelude to him disinheriting Sasha. However, Paul was assassinated before anything concrete was done, and besides, if Paul hadn't promulgated the Pauline Laws, the Emperor could name his successor. Sasha wouldn't be happy about it, and there might be some conflict between Sasha and Kostka when Paul kicks.

I guess Constantine wasn't as affected by Catherine's upbringing as Alexander was then? Otherwise, I'd just assume Paul would simply focus more on Nicholas and Michael.
 
I guess Constantine wasn't as affected by Catherine's upbringing as Alexander was then? Otherwise, I'd just assume Paul would simply focus more on Nicholas and Michael.

It had more to do with the fact that Ekaterina actually planned on disinheriting Paul in Sasha's favor. Paul never liked his mom but that was kinda the last straw. Wait your whole life to get the imperial diadem and at the last moment your nymphomaniac bitch of a mamushka decides, nope, we're naming your eldest son as heir instead. Bound to leave pretty deep scars.
 
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