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How different would things have gone had Cameron and the Conservatives won a small overall majority in 2010?

First, would Cameron feel compelled to call a Brexit referendum during that term, or is still likely to be something he pledges for a second term?

Without the Fixed Term Parliaments Act, would the next election be held in 2014 or 2015?

How would being out of government affect the Lib Dems? They're likely to still lose some votes, given that some left-of-center anti-Labour protest voters might swing back to Labour to oppose the Tories. But they almost certainly won't crash to just 8 seats.

And would this paradoxically benefit Labour in the 2014/5 election? Might the Tories actually lose their majority in 2015, potentially opening up space for a Labour-led government?
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