WI this attempt to assassinate Kaiser Wilhelm II succeeds?

Deleted member 94680

So apparently the WAllies attempted to kill Kaiser Bill by bombing run in 1918.

Saying this succeeds, how does it change the fate of the monarchy in Germany?
Will the WAllies be more or less favourably disposed to the Hohenzollerns if Kaiser Wilhelm II is definitely off the scene?
What of his image in Germany as a “battlefield martyr”?

I can’t imagine it has any effect on the course of WWI, but how does it affect the subsequent peace negotiations? If it does at all.
 
This means an earlier end of the war as the Crown Prince definitely thought the war was lost by July. Definitely was an opening in August as the Austrians really wanted to request a peace conference through neutral channels, the Crown Price could have made this happen. The Kaiser being gone, also might make the Allies more willing to negotiate. An August early September armistice before the collapse of the Bulgarian and Ottomans fronts could be less harsh.

An armistice at this point:
Germany withdraws to 1914 boundaries, also withdraws from Alsace-Lorraine.
Surrenders all subs.
Surrenders all two engine aircraft
Surrenders all artillery > 150 mm
Disables all air ships.
German surface fleet immobilized in current German ports (most fuel and all ammo removed).

Would the monarchy survive, perhaps in some fashion, but with much less power.
 

Deleted member 94680

I can see the different borders, but with a “less harsh” peace, how do the WAllies dictate the form of the German military? Versailles went as far as it did (banning certain weapons, limiting the size of a future German army, etc) due to the fact Germany was totally beaten and no one thought fighting on was possible. This won’t be that set of circumstances so can’t be as harsh a peace, no?
 
I can see the different borders, but with a “less harsh” peace, how do the WAllies dictate the form of the German military? Versailles went as far as it did (banning certain weapons, limiting the size of a future German army, etc) due to the fact Germany was totally beaten and no one thought fighting on was possible. This won’t be that set of circumstances so can’t be as harsh a peace, no?
I agree with this sentiment, Germany still having some fight in them gives them more negotiating power
 
I would give it even odds that Auguste Viktoria will suffer a fatal heart attack/stroke when news of her husbands death reach her. Chances are that should she die Joachim's depression will go out of control and he might commit suicide soon afterwards.

What happens with Auguste Viktoria will also impact the new Emperor as the two were close.

As for the war, I wouldn't rule out the possibility that the Germans will attempt to pay back the Entente for this. An attempt on the French president or the British King might be in the cards.
 
Any possibility that he orders a pullback from the (largely worthless) ground captured in the Michael offensive, thus aborting the Battle of Amiens?

That saves Germany 50,000 prisoners and 500 lost guns, which could come in handy for defending the Hindenburg Line, should Haig still decide to attack it.
Indeed, will he even do so? Iirc, the spectacle of German soldiers surrendering in unprecedented numbers in the BoA was an important factor in giving him confidence to attack the HL, in the hope that the enemy soldiers were losing the will to defend it. OTOH, if he does still attack, might the assault on the HL turn into a British "Nivelle Offensive"?
 
If the above mentioned things happen and there are more intact German forces on the ground, this might actually mean a negotiated peace. Would the Entente still insist on dismantling A-H? If not what could they ask for? Bosnia, some Italian territories and Galicia to Poland are a given, but what else?
 

Deleted member 94680

Any possibility that he orders a pullback from the (largely worthless) ground captured in the Michael offensive, thus aborting the Battle of Amiens?

That saves Germany 50,000 prisoners and 500 lost guns, which could come in handy for defending the Hindenburg Line, should Haig still decide to attack it.
Indeed, will he even do so? Iirc, the spectacle of German soldiers surrendering in unprecedented numbers in the BoA was an important factor in giving him confidence to attack the HL, in the hope that the enemy soldiers were losing the will to defend it. OTOH, if he does still attack, might the assault on the HL turn into a British "Nivelle Offensive"?

If the above mentioned things happen and there are more intact German forces on the ground, this might actually mean a negotiated peace. Would the Entente still insist on dismantling A-H? If not what could they ask for? Bosnia, some Italian territories and Galicia to Poland are a given, but what else?

My feeling is a "pull-back" order from the newly anointed Kaiser Wilhelm III will be respected, but not result in a surrender. The Heer will withdraw to a defensive line and a resultant peace, if it's offered, would be from a position of greater German strength. OTL, IIRC, the peace of 1918 took most of the WAllies by surprise and was the result of an almost spontaneous collapse in the OHL's morale.
 
My feeling is a "pull-back" order from the newly anointed Kaiser Wilhelm III will be respected, but not result in a surrender. The Heer will withdraw to a defensive line and a resultant peace, if it's offered, would be from a position of greater German strength. OTL, IIRC, the peace of 1918 took most of the WAllies by surprise and was the result of an almost spontaneous collapse in the OHL's morale.

Depends what you (and they) regard as a "surrender".

If they do fall back to the HL (as, OTL, General Lossberg vainly urged Ludendorff to do on 19 July) they are effectively giving up on offensive operations, which leaves only the choice of sitting still until ever-growing US numbers overwhelm them, or else making peace moves. I assume it would be the latter.
 
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