WI:The results of the Battle of Frigidus River was the reverse?

So in this scenario,the Western Romans wins the battle,but still pretty costly(much more survivors than OTL though).Eugenius and Arbogast are still alive.Theodosius and Alaric are both dead,and the Visigothic army and the Eastern Roman army are both completely gutted.What would happen in this scenario.
 
Well the Western Roman Empire's army is in a much less shitty shape come the 5th century. Seriously, the two civil wars with Theodosius that the west lost were massive blows to western manpower. You know how Stilicho avoided battle almost religiously? Yeah, there's a reason for that beyond his questionable military capabilities: He couldn't afford any losses. This changes things.


Also, there's the Goths. The Gothic military capabilities are completely destroyed in this scenario. Theodosius used the Goths as a meat shield basically (something Alaric would not find amusing and would revolt afterward largely with that as his immediate justification). So in a scenario where he loses, the Goths are going to be completely crippled, and Alaric will likely be dead, meaning they'd be leaderless. Arbogast could likely use this as a means to secure far more favorable terms with them and set them up for being at least semi-assimilated within a generation (no state within a state with an independent ruler basically).
 
Despite the Western Imperial forces being more intact, something tells me that Eugenius might not last long. We don't know exactly how old he was when he died IOTL, and he was a former grammar teacher in a time when an emperor had to be a military leader of some capability to survive. No offense to grammar teachers/students.

So, in the East, presumably Arcadius comes to the throne. If not, who else? Anthemius? https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anthemius_(praetorian_prefect).
 
Despite the Western Imperial forces being more intact, something tells me that Eugenius might not last long. We don't know exactly how old he was when he died IOTL, and he was a former grammar teacher in a time when an emperor had to be a military leader of some capability to survive. No offense to grammar teachers/students.

So, in the East, presumably Arcadius comes to the throne. If not, who else? Anthemius? https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anthemius_(praetorian_prefect).

Arbogast simply switches one puppet for another.Would he press the advantage and take control of the eastern empire as well though?Or at least extort a fine sum from the east?The Eastern Roman army has been completely destroyed in this case,and like always,remaining Roman armies do like to defect to whoever seems to be winning at that point.
 
Top