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In 2003, Peter MacKay made a deal with David Orchard to become leader of the Progressive Conservative Party. MacKay promised, in writing, not to merge with the Canadian Alliance. Several months later, MacKay reneged.
What might have happened had Orchard not made the deal?
Frex, it seems likely Jim Prentice would have become Tory leader, & possibly PM. It seems virtually certain Stephen Harper would not have become PM...
For the record, I'm not a political junkie, so I'm offering this one for those who are. This post will (probably) be my sole contribution.