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I think that this has come up before, but quite a while ago, so a question more than anything else.
If there were to any shooting, whether by design or accident how bad could things get? I would think that heads would cool quickly and nothing that bad would happen, at Fashoda. However, in Paris and London, OTL, there was a lot of talk, but no action.
What's the worse that could happen? A first world war 12 years early, if so who sides with whom.
The UK and Germany V's France and Russia to start with? Who else could come in and why.