What if the recession was still going on in 1984? Would Mondale still have been nominated? Would Reagan still have been re-elected?
If Mondale plays his cards right, I can see him winning
If the economy is bad enough in 1984, I could see Mondale narrowly beating Reagan. With that said, this could produce enough of a butterfly to give the nomination to Hart, or other candidates who didn't run OTL for fear that Reagan was unbeatable might jump in and take the nomination.I can't see Mondale win. He's just too left-wing for 80s America.
Hart on the other hand, would likely beat Reagan.