WI the daughter of Juan, prince of Asturias, had lived?

Juan, Prince of Asturias, was the son and heir of Isabella of Castille and Ferdinand of Aragon. He died in 1497, leaving a pregnant wife, Margaret of Austria. But six months later she would give birth to a stillborn girl. After this, with the later deaths of Juan's eldest sister, princess Isabella, and her son, Miguel da Paz, the inheritance passed to Joanna of Castille and Philip the Handsome, and Spain became a Habsburg possession.

But WI Juan still dies, but his only daughter (let's call her Isabella, in honour to her grandmother) lives and is healthy? When Isabella I dies in 1504 the six-years-old Isabella II would become queen of Castile, and Philip the Handsome doesn't get Spain. But the young queen still needs to marry someone. Who could be the happy prince that Ferdinand of Aragon would choose (let's say around 1512, when she would be 14) to marry his granddaughter and get all the Castilian and Aragonese possessions?
 
Looking ahead a bit, what effect would a non-Hapsburg Spain have on the religious developments? I don't know anything about the Hapsburg succession, so I can't comment on "who comes next" in the succession. But if you can work this in, cool.

I'm thinking ...

* What effect would a non-Hapsburg Spain have on the Inquisition, continued persecution of Muslims and Jews?

* How would a non-Hapsburg Spain change the Reformation? Would Protestantism spread farther through the Low Countries if the Spanish armies were not there to stem the tide?

* How would this affect religion in the New World?

From what I remember, the pre-Hapsburg Spanish rulers were just or almost as ardently Catholic as the Hapsburgs, so maybe the New World (i.e. Mesoamerica, Philippines, South America) would remain intensely missioned.
 
Looking ahead a bit, what effect would a non-Hapsburg Spain have on the religious developments? I don't know anything about the Hapsburg succession, so I can't comment on "who comes next" in the succession. But if you can work this in, cool.

I'm thinking ...

* What effect would a non-Hapsburg Spain have on the Inquisition, continued persecution of Muslims and Jews?

* How would a non-Hapsburg Spain change the Reformation? Would Protestantism spread farther through the Low Countries if the Spanish armies were not there to stem the tide?

* How would this affect religion in the New World?

From what I remember, the pre-Hapsburg Spanish rulers were just or almost as ardently Catholic as the Hapsburgs, so maybe the New World (i.e. Mesoamerica, Philippines, South America) would remain intensely missioned.

I think that the religious developments in Spain and the New World wouldn't be so different. Of course, the new dynasty could have some influence, but it depends on who is the chosen king consort.

The Reformation would be an interesting issue. If the Habsburgs are not involved with Spain and keep the focus in the HRE then possibly they would not let Protestantism be spread so fast in Germany. But in the other hand they wouldn't have the resources of Spain to help them in their wars.

About the possible husbands for Isabella, I was thinking that if Ferdinand wants to keep the alliance with the Habsburgs he could have married her to a son of Philip the Handsome. Probably he would not choose Charles, because even IOTL he didn't want to unite Spain with Burgundy, so maybe he could accept Ferdinand (who would not be born in Spain ITTL).
However, other interesting candidate would be John, the eldest son of Manuel I of Portugal. It would unite all the Iberian kingdoms (as was tried before with Miguel da Paz) and avoid Spanish involvement in the Imperial problems.
 
However, other interesting candidate would be John, the eldest son of Manuel I of Portugal. It would unite all the Iberian kingdoms (as was tried before with Miguel da Paz) and avoid Spanish involvement in the Imperial problems.

This is the most likely.
 
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