Realistically (and "Fractured States" got f***ed up in this respect, though it doesn't make it a bad game and I'm going to try to keep it historically realistic from this point on; and I want to dwell on this idea more than a Nations Game.), New England befriends Britain, and Virginia and the South likely stays friendly with France up until perhaps the latter part of the French Revolutionary wars in Europe; The North goes more Federalist, while the South goes with the Democratic-Republicans, and I suppose the South and middle colonies/states go more as the US did in the OTL for a long time, while New England is more large government for the sake of large government and a censored democracy.
You'd probably also see other revolutionary nations like Mexico Balkanize without a US precedent.