WI Tatarstan left Russia in 1992?

In 1992 Tatarstan held a referendum on independence from Russia, and 62 percent of the those who took part voted in favor of independence. On February 15, 1994 the Treaty On Delimitation of Jurisdictional Subjects and Mutual Delegation of Authority between the State Bodies of the Russian Federation and the State Bodies of the Republic of Tatarstan and Agreement between the Government of the Russian Federation and the Government of the Republic of Tatarstan (On Delimitation of Authority in the Sphere of Foreign Economic Relations) were signed. These agreements may be considered as temporary recognition of Tatarstan's independence by the Russian Federation, because it mentions the Declaration on State Sovereignty of the Republic of Tatarstan.

-From Wiki.

What if Tatarstan refused to sign the aforementioned document with an extremely long name and became independent? Russia wasn't very powerful at this time, right after the fall of the Soviet Union, so it couldn't have done a ton to stop this. This might have also spurred all the other Federal Subjects of Russia, such as Chechnya, North Ossetia-Alania, Ingushetia, Sakha, Altai, Dagestan, Karelia, and the Jewish Autonomous Oblast, to become independent, or less cooperative with Russia. And with Sakha, which even today does not cooperate well with Russia's federal government, if it left Russia, Russia would have lost one heck of a lot of land.
 
2002 census says 52.9% are Tatars. 39.5% are Russians.
you will be surprised, but a lot of tatars look like russians and dont speak tatarian language. and POD-1992, not 2002:p And in 19992-2000 tatarstan had a lot of privileges. But if tatarstan is independept, economic crisis would begin.
 

HueyLong

Banned
you will be surprised, but a lot of tatars look like russians and dont speak tatarian language. and POD-1992, not 2002:p And in 19992-2000 tatarstan had a lot of privileges. But if tatarstan is independept, economic crisis would begin.

1989 census does give less Tatars- but the matter is who identifies themselves as Tatar, not who actually is a Tatar.

And I don't doubt that it would be an economic nightmare. But Tatarstan currently has a GDP of about 24 billion. Not bad for such a small area. And its primarily urban and seems to enjoy oil wealth.... certainly bad, but not infinitely so.
 
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