So what's the shelf life of an Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan which doesn't invoke an invasion by a rightfully pissed off America?
How does this impact the wider region?
How does this impact the wider region?
But surrendering OBL might earn them the favor of White House and maybe more arms to use against IranThe Taliban was a genocidal regime which put the interests of the Pashtun tribe above all others. Such a regime in a tribe-oriented society like Afghanistan is always going to face uprisings against it's authority. India, Iran and Russia would continue to back the Northern Alliance which would continue the fight against the Taliban.
But surrendering OBL might earn them the favor of White House and maybe more arms to use against Iran
You are going to need to specify the time it happened. I am googling it and the Guardian shows a mentoin of the Talkban offering to turn over Osama to a third country, if evidence was shown that he was guilty. After a lot of video evidence by Osama.The Taliban offered to give up OBL to the US government in exchange for the US to stop bombing Afghanistan IOTL. But the Bush Administration refused to negotiate, so you'd have to have a totally different administration who would be willing to negotiate with the Taliban
The US would escalate its demands to include handing over anyone who had anything to do with Al Qaeida, including key Taleban leaders. This would not be fulfilled and the invasion would play out the way it did in OTL.