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I'm running a geopolitical simulator set in January 1990 and, after thoroughly alienating the Syrian and Iranian players, those two decided to declare war on the Iraqi player and are both on the offensive.
My question is: how screwed would Iraq be in this situation? I'm imagining that, even with lots of Syrian troops in Lebanon, Iraq would not be able to withstand an invasion by two countries (particularly in the absence of foreign armaments.)
Also, what would the consequences be for the world (oil prices, etc.) and for Iraq itself in the event of Saddam being defeated? I'd imagine the Shia would dominate Iraqi politics, with Syria supporting figures like Ahmed Chalabi and groups like Islamic Dawa, and Iran supporting the SCIRI.