WI: Swedes win the Battle of Poltava?

What if the Swedish Army wins the Battle of Poltava? How does that affect the Northern War? How far into Russia would Sweden go, if at all?
 
What if the Swedish Army wins the Battle of Poltava? How does that affect the Northern War?
It might make Denmark and Saxony postpone their reentering the war.
It might also save the cities Viborg, Riga, Pernau and Reval from falling in 1710.
How far into Russia would Sweden go, if at all?
No one knows what Charles XII intended. His army would be ordered to go where there was food to be had, and if scorched earth policies was implemented in all reachable Russian territories, the Swedes would have to return to Poland-Lithuania, or go to Crimea or Turkey.
 
What if the Swedish Army wins the Battle of Poltava? How does that affect the Northern War? How far into Russia would Sweden go, if at all?

Charles would order his army to head back to friendly territory. The army lacked gun powder and lacked manpower
 
The army lacked gun powder
At Perevolotchna, the surrendering Swedes still had enough gunpowder to fight two more battles. Or more precisely, the artillery had twice as much gunpowder as the Russian artillery had used at the battle of Poltava, while the infantry only had three shots per musketeer. (Not that there was much infantry left, though.)

That above was when they had lost the battle. Picture a Fraustadt-like victory, where instead the Russian army is wiped out. Then the Swedes might have acquired some stocks of Russian gunpowder.
 
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Is it a big victory? Then Sweden regains its Baltic lands including St Petersburg which would now not evolve very far. Poland is a client state under Stanislaw.
Similar situation for Cossack Hetmanate.

But then again Charles could advance the endless war and face defeat on the way to Moscow.
 
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