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what if Axis succeed in killing Stalin in early 1941? after the German-Soviet Border and Commercial Agreement
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/German–Soviet_Border_and_Commercial_Agreement which settled (most) trade questions but did not deal with Soviet entry into Axis.
(for argument's sake let's say German ambassador and other Germans die too, and the case is unclear)
does it stall or end German invasion plans? or just reinforce the idea to invade, with thought leaderless country even more vulnerable?
or does the USSR, likely headed by committee at least initially, offer ever more generous concessions on raw materials?