WI: St Bartholomew’s Day Massacre Thwarted?

What if the plot to commit the St Bartholomew’s Day Massacre had somehow been found out by the Huguenot population of Paris and they had fled the city before it could be carried out? Would anti-Huguenot violence still spread throughout France without the powderkeg being lit in Paris? What would Coligny and other prominent Huguenot leaders do if they had not been assassinated but had managed to flee Paris instead? Coligny had already survived a failed assassination attempt a few days earlier so he would likely not trust the French monarchy after he received word that they wanted him dead. What about Henry of Navarre? The Massacre itself took place around his wedding date to the French princess.
 
What if the plot to commit the St Bartholomew’s Day Massacre had somehow been found out by the Huguenot population of Paris and they had fled the city before it could be carried out? Would anti-Huguenot violence still spread throughout France without the powderkeg being lit in Paris? What would Coligny and other prominent Huguenot leaders do if they had not been assassinated but had managed to flee Paris instead? Coligny had already survived a failed assassination attempt a few days earlier so he would likely not trust the French monarchy after he received word that they wanted him dead. What about Henry of Navarre? The Massacre itself took place around his wedding date to the French princess.

There was no plot to commit the Massacre. Some elements at Court (the Guise, probably) wanted Coligny dead, some others (Catherine de' Medici or Anjou) wanted to use the opportunity to get rid of the Huguenots leaders, but the slaughter of all the Protestants in Paris was the result of popular insurrection, in a context of extreme tension (religious millenarism and bread prices skyrocketting). The only really plotted element was the first attempt on Coligny's life, the rest was just a (very) badly managed crisis by the Court.
 
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