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General question for a TL I have planned for the near future.

So, 11th of May, 1812, quarter past five. Spencer Percival, Prime Minister, is entering the lobby of the House of Commons on his way to attend an inquiry into the Order of Counsels. he has been Prime Minister since 1809. John Bellingham, a merchant imprisoned in Russia, has had his petitions to gain compensation refused. Seeing no other way about it, Bellingham stepped forwards and shoots Percival in the chest. Percival dies shortly after. He would be succeeded by Robert Jenkinson, the Earl of Liverpool, and the longest reigning Prime Minister since Pitt the Younger.

The question is, of course, what if Spencer Percival was not shot? What would the immediate effects of this, and what would Percival do in the coming years?
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