What if the Spanish tercios had managed to defeat the French at the Battle of Rocroi, in the Spanish Netherlands, as part of the last stages of the Thirty Years' War?
Does this force the French to focus their efforts in the northeast, with less supplies being shipped to the Portuguese and Catalan revolts?
 
Bumping for interest.
How does this affect the German theatre of the last phase of the Thirty Years' War?
Does a reverse outcome at Rocroi affect the longevity of the tercio as a tactical formation, as traditional historiography of the battle would imply?
 
Bumping for interest.
How does this affect the German theatre of the last phase of the Thirty Years' War?
Does a reverse outcome at Rocroi affect the longevity of the tercio as a tactical formation, as traditional historiography of the battle would imply?

Limited and not at all.

The Tercio is an evolving thing anyway but successful into the mid 1650s. In Western Europe, probably much longer in the east where the cavalry threat is different.

Field battles are few and far between compared to sieges and affairs of outposts and as technology, lighter firearms and then flintlock/bayonet and especially lighter artillery Arrive formations will thin out. Tercio is really a solution to a problem that no longer really exists.
 
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