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Lets say the transfer of Louisiana between Spain and Napoleonic France did not occur as it did in OTL. What likely scenarios would happen next?
Would Spain sell it to the USA like France? If so, at a higher or lower price? Would they sell all of it or partition pieces such as the northern half, to connect to Oregon, and/or New Orleans. If Spain tries to hold on to it all will Mexico claim it when it rebels? Will the USA go to war for the land, and if so when? Would Spain sell it to another country ? Other ideas?