WI: South Africa 30% White

What if, due to an increase in the original Dutch population of South Africa, and more British immigrants later (leaving the balance of Whites between the English and Afrikaner same as OTL), South Africa was 30% white? What would the impacts of this be?

ATL, in 2011, the demographics of the country would be 56% Black, 30% White, 11% Coloured, and 3% Asian (perhaps with the majority of Asians being East Asian, due to Chinese being brought over instead of Indians, and more of a Japanese community). In 1970, it would have been 53% Black, 34% White, 10% Coloured, and finally 3% Asian.
 
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The more white immigrants - and the more centuries - the more "coloured" children.
"Coloured" (mixed race) children were always an embarrassment to hard-line Afrikaners. Afrikaners tried to blame "coloured" children on visiting sailors ... until a naughty school boy did the math. He concluded that every visiting sailor would have to drop his pants when he came ashore and "work hard" until his ship sailed again!
Hah!
Hah!
 
The more white immigrants - and the more centuries - the more "coloured" children.
"Coloured" (mixed race) children were always an embarrassment to hard-line Afrikaners. Afrikaners tried to blame "coloured" children on visiting sailors ... until a naughty school boy did the math. He concluded that every visiting sailor would have to drop his pants when he came ashore and "work hard" until his ship sailed again!
Hah!
Hah!

And it was certainly ironic given the treatment they were given in the early days of apartheid.
 
Anyone have other ideas on the impact of this?

Apartheid becomes either more entrenched or fails to arise in the first place. For the first, the whites now have significantly more numbers relative to the oppressed. On the other hand, a 30% white population could simply include the lightest strata of the coloureds, who now form a much larger groups with a foot in both camps, potentially easing racial tension.
 

Czar Kaizer

Banned
Apartheid becomes either more entrenched or fails to arise in the first place. For the first, the whites now have significantly more numbers relative to the oppressed. On the other hand, a 30% white population could simply include the lightest strata of the coloureds, who now form a much larger groups with a foot in both camps, potentially easing racial tension.
It would actaully be even worse than apartheid, a white population that consists of a third of the country will basically fully dispossesse Africans from all land. I means it could evolve into a Brazil like scenorio where a lighter skin tone is associated with class or even a New Zealand like situation in terms of race relations. The thing about coloureds, looking at my own family history and people I know a lot of coloured people have at least 1 white great grandparent, it was extremely common for whites to marry colourd's before 48 and many spouses simply kept there race a dark family secret during apartheid.
 
It would actaully be even worse than apartheid, a white population that consists of a third of the country will basically fully dispossesse Africans from all land. I means it could evolve into a Brazil like scenorio where a lighter skin tone is associated with class or even a New Zealand like situation in terms of race relations. The thing about coloureds, looking at my own family history and people I know a lot of coloured people have at least 1 white great grandparent, it was extremely common for whites to marry colourd's before 48 and many spouses simply kept there race a dark family secret during apartheid.

I'm not expert, hence why I asked (though hopefully some of the more "enlightened" forum members might see this), but it could go many different ways. I think Apartheid will still be enacted (30% is more of a population, but by no means a majority, even with Coloureds and Asians added in).

Once Apartheid does end, though, which might be a bit later (though with 30% white population, it could go on for a while), the White-Coloured-Asian coalition of OTL will be much stronger, and will surely get more of what they want at the negotiating table.
 
The more white immigrants - and the more centuries - the more "coloured" children.
"Coloured" (mixed race) children were always an embarrassment to hard-line Afrikaners. Afrikaners tried to blame "coloured" children on visiting sailors ... until a naughty school boy did the math. He concluded that every visiting sailor would have to drop his pants when he came ashore and "work hard" until his ship sailed again!
Hah!
Hah!

Yeah, I'm not sure that's true.
 
I'm not expert, hence why I asked (though hopefully some of the more "enlightened" forum members might see this), but it could go many different ways. I think Apartheid will still be enacted (30% is more of a population, but by no means a majority, even with Coloureds and Asians added in).

Once Apartheid does end, though, which might be a bit later (though with 30% white population, it could go on for a while), the White-Coloured-Asian coalition of OTL will be much stronger, and will surely get more of what they want at the negotiating table.

Counter-intuitively, you could have a system less extreme than apartheid, possibly, perhaps closer to what happened in Rhodesia, or perhaps not even that extreme.

It is quite possible that a larger number of whites could consider black people less of a threat and allow such things as a qualified franchise, perhaps even before WWII.
 
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