WI: Social War in 125 BC?

So in 125, the Italian town of Fregellae launched a revolt after a proposal for granting them Latin rights was rejected. The Romans hastily sent the praetor Lucius Opimius with an army against the city and a local by the name of Numitorius opened the gates, allowing the Romans to completely raze the city to the ground.

Now it was widely believed at the time that the quick response and its severity (razing Fregellae to the ground) prevented a general revolt of the Italian allies similar to the Social War that would engulf Rome a few decades later following Drusus' assassination. So my question is, what if the Roman response was delayed enough to allow for the revolt to gain some traction and spiral out of control? Say the Romans are a little slower in responding and Numitorius doesn't open the gates so the city can hold out for a brief siege? What effects does a social war 30 years earlier (and, it should be stressed this is before the Marian reforms so Roman manpower is in an even worse straight than it was during the OTL Social War-it was pretty bad then too considering a lot of their manpower came from the Italian allies) have on Rome and the Mediterranean world?
 
This is just not possible without a much earlier POD.

It took 34 years before the social war started. 34 years precisely between 125 and 91, during which roman noble factions overplayed on the italian socii's nervis with the questions of ager publicus and roman citizenship.

They so much overplayed on these sensitive questions that they broke the relations of clientela that had been the root of roman nobles' domination on their italian allied counterparts.

You need all these events to happen to have the social war, because the bonds were very deep and strong. They even resisted the catastrophees of the first years of the second punic war.

Only Fregellae revolted in 125. It was very specific.

Gaius Gracchus and Gaius Fulvius Flaccus were real Statesmen. They had conceived a plan for intégration the italians as soon as 125. But they failed in 125 and 122. Their failure of 122 was the cause of their violent death. This moment was the root of the social war, but the root still needed to grow.
 
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