WI Sertorius managed to defeat Pompey?

So as the title says, if Sertorius and Perpenna between 80 and 72 BC succeded to defeat first Metellus the Pious and then Pompey also killed them, what will happening next? They proclamated the indipendence of Spain from Rome? Tried to invade Italy? Meanwhile, Mithridates tried to invade another time all of Turkey? The Mauretians were looking for Roman Numidia? And without Pompey, which will was the fate of Syria (survive of Seleucids dynasty or invasion by Parthia, Egypt, Pontus or what else)? And Julius Caesar which side chose to stay? I put many lines here, now say your opinion...
 
The problem is that Sertorius never had the strength to take the fight back to Rome and Sulla. If Pompeius, or Adulescens Carnifex (kid butcher) as his soldiers called him, had been beaten by Sertorius then there was still the army of Metellus Pius in Hispania. I think that Sulla wouldn't have been at all sorry to hear that the Republics' problem child had been beaten and would simply have reinforced Metellus Pius until he finally wore down Sertorius. Which is a shame, because I have always felt sympathy for him.
 
The problem is that Sertorius never had the strength to take the fight back to Rome and Sulla. If Pompeius, or Adulescens Carnifex (kid butcher) as his soldiers called him, had been beaten by Sertorius then there was still the army of Metellus Pius in Hispania. I think that Sulla wouldn't have been at all sorry to hear that the Republics' problem child had been beaten and would simply have reinforced Metellus Pius until he finally wore down Sertorius. Which is a shame, because I have always felt sympathy for him.

But Sulla died in 79 BC, so he couldn't have the time to handle the Spanish insurrection. Metellus was in Spain since 80, but he needed at least 5-6 years to take Baetica; meanwhile Pompeius went to Spain only in 77, and until 73 the military operations were in favour of Sertorious. So if Sertorius was more lucky to defeat Metellus before Pompeius's coming, and later succeded to kill Pompeius, and Perpenna didn't betray him, then the Republic could decide to left Spain for some years to fight more urgent fronts (Sparthacus, Mithridates).
 
I've always had a fondness for Sertorius myself, but it's not incredibly likiely that he could defeat Pompey in an open battle. If Sertorius kept up the guerrilla tactics that had been working well, and had he continued training his Hispanic troops for another year or so, then maybe he could hold against Pompey. However, with Mithridates in the East, Sertorius in the West, and Spartacus in Italy, it's certainly possible that the Republic could survive as Pompey and Metellus Pius are needed elsewhere.

Here's a thread that looks at Sertorius' republic surviving:

https://www.alternatehistory.com/discussion/showthread.php?t=155920&highlight=Sertorious
 
I've always had a fondness for Sertorius myself, but it's not incredibly likiely that he could defeat Pompey in an open battle. If Sertorius kept up the guerrilla tactics that had been working well, and had he continued training his Hispanic troops for another year or so, then maybe he could hold against Pompey. However, with Mithridates in the East, Sertorius in the West, and Spartacus in Italy, it's certainly possible that the Republic could survive as Pompey and Metellus Pius are needed elsewhere.

Here's a thread that looks at Sertorius' republic surviving:

https://www.alternatehistory.com/discussion/showthread.php?t=155920&highlight=Sertorious

So, taking the example from the previous thread, what if we considered the possibility Pompey's soldiers revolted againist him, tired of a long guerrilla war, hungry with lack of supplies, killed him and passed to Sertorius's side?
 
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