Just as it says. What if Sarah Palin stays as Governor of Alaska, without resigning? I assume she would win re-election in 2010: it was a Republican year and she'd probably be more popular without her resignation. It also means that she wouldn't have as expanded of a national profile as she did in the 2010 elections. How would the 2010 elections change as a result? Also, might Sarah Palin be considered a little more viable for the Presidency in 2012, considering her greater experience?
WI: Sarah Palin Doesn't Resign
- Thread starter Han
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Alaska would still suffer a large number of lawsuits by Democrats mostly from the lower 48. This would just be used to reinforce the belief that the lower 48 are out to get Alaska. States like Alaska tend to view outsiders who come in and tell them what to do badly. When I lived in Nebraska it was very similar.
She would have easily won re-election, and to be honest I doubt it would in anyway dampened any of her assistance to others in the 2010 elections. If she were still Governor she would of probably have an even larger profile thanks to the continued lawsuits mentioned above and the fact everyone would assume she was just waiting to run for President. So, her every move would be tracked even more closely by the media (if that is even possible). However, if say a lot of big liberal donors thought they could get revenge on Sarah by supporting the Democrat (Berkowitz, OTL), then all the money they would waist in Alaska is money that could not be used in other elections. That may have made the difference in a few close democratic wins OTL, which would now be losses.
I doubt it really matters, in regards to election prospects for President. Our current president had no executive experience, so that is hardly a disqualification anymore. Also, to any potential supporters she would have in 2012 would be there whether she stayed Governor or not. To be honest I seriously doubt she is going to run, and I am someone who would gladly vote for her over the current President. In the end I really do not see where she benefits, being President really is not as great as it objectively may sound. Lastly, I do find the media and liberal obsession with her amazing to down right scary. My liberal Massachusett Democrat parents practically track her every move, where I could care less where she lives, visits, etc...
She would have easily won re-election, and to be honest I doubt it would in anyway dampened any of her assistance to others in the 2010 elections. If she were still Governor she would of probably have an even larger profile thanks to the continued lawsuits mentioned above and the fact everyone would assume she was just waiting to run for President. So, her every move would be tracked even more closely by the media (if that is even possible). However, if say a lot of big liberal donors thought they could get revenge on Sarah by supporting the Democrat (Berkowitz, OTL), then all the money they would waist in Alaska is money that could not be used in other elections. That may have made the difference in a few close democratic wins OTL, which would now be losses.
I doubt it really matters, in regards to election prospects for President. Our current president had no executive experience, so that is hardly a disqualification anymore. Also, to any potential supporters she would have in 2012 would be there whether she stayed Governor or not. To be honest I seriously doubt she is going to run, and I am someone who would gladly vote for her over the current President. In the end I really do not see where she benefits, being President really is not as great as it objectively may sound. Lastly, I do find the media and liberal obsession with her amazing to down right scary. My liberal Massachusett Democrat parents practically track her every move, where I could care less where she lives, visits, etc...
I don't think it would change her 2012 chances too much. Those that support her IOTL are too blinded by her personality that they don't care about the resignation. ITTL, I suppose it would mean she could be taken more seriously by non-Palinistas, but that would end once the campaign begins. The "self-nuking" theory still applies.
I suppose though that her staying in office would make the likelihood of her running in 2012 seem more valid though. Whether or not she does so (OTL or TTL), her Cuomo-esque talk would look a lot more forceful if she remained Governor through at least 2010.
I'd be curious as to the effect it would have on the 2010 elections, though. I would think that her capacity to meddle with the primaries in the lower 48 would be somewhat, though not greatly reduced. She'd still get TV and Facebook attention, but would be less able to make appearances for candidates.
More specifically it would be an interesting question of whether a Gov. Palin would be powerful enough to put Joe Miller over the top, particularly if she seeks reelection. Assuming that she wins, it would require a fair amount of ticket splitting to see Alaska re-elect Palin, then go to the trouble of writing in Lisa Murkowski.
Could be fair to say that a Palin seeking re-election doesn't dare expend the political capital to take on Lisa M for the sake of a longshot Miller candidacy, but her history doesn't show a tendency to shy away from difficult personally-motivated political fights.
I suppose though that her staying in office would make the likelihood of her running in 2012 seem more valid though. Whether or not she does so (OTL or TTL), her Cuomo-esque talk would look a lot more forceful if she remained Governor through at least 2010.
I'd be curious as to the effect it would have on the 2010 elections, though. I would think that her capacity to meddle with the primaries in the lower 48 would be somewhat, though not greatly reduced. She'd still get TV and Facebook attention, but would be less able to make appearances for candidates.
More specifically it would be an interesting question of whether a Gov. Palin would be powerful enough to put Joe Miller over the top, particularly if she seeks reelection. Assuming that she wins, it would require a fair amount of ticket splitting to see Alaska re-elect Palin, then go to the trouble of writing in Lisa Murkowski.
Could be fair to say that a Palin seeking re-election doesn't dare expend the political capital to take on Lisa M for the sake of a longshot Miller candidacy, but her history doesn't show a tendency to shy away from difficult personally-motivated political fights.
Agreed with Brian as usual. She might have more executive experience, but will continue to be dogged by ethics problems- rather like Clinton in 1998.
I don't think Palin would put Miller up against Murkowski. If she really wanted to take Murky out she'd have run against her in the 2004 Republican primary, but since she has no interest in being a senator would not do that.
I don't think Palin would put Miller up against Murkowski. If she really wanted to take Murky out she'd have run against her in the 2004 Republican primary, but since she has no interest in being a senator would not do that.
I think she's too much of an attention whore to not resign, at least not without getting rid of the veep nod. I think she got a taste of the limelight from her experience during the McCain campaign and thought it was too good to pass up, so she went for the glitz and glam rather than doing her actual job.
The resignation had a bit to do with the wide-open ethics laws harming her ability to conduct her job on a daily basis, but probably other motivations as well. However it falls flat as a defense for if she hasn't been dancing on the yellow line in the first place none of the Alaskan complaints would have been filed.
Orville_third
Banned
There is also the chance for impeachment. After all, the independent legislative commission found she had abused power. Of course if she gets impeached, Parker Spitzer could become Blago Palin... (And God help us all...)
So Republicans would have won even more seats without her campaigning for unelectables in the primaries?
The difference being people would actually watch Blago Palin.
Gov. Palin just saved CNN! But probably FOX.