So, how likely is a Russian victory in the Battle of Warsaw? And what would be the likely results? Some random thoughts...
-Russia will likely set up a "Polish SSR" that would become a founding member of the USSR along with the RSFSR, Ukraine, Belarus, and Transcaucasia
-The Soviets' success in Poland will likely embolden them to attack Germany, possibly with help from whatever's left of the Spartacus movement. I highly doubt it will work, even considering the state the German army was in at the time.
-But, the mere prospect of a Soviet takeover of Germany will spook the hell out of Western Europe. Germany will probably use this to argue for the lifting of the Versailles Treaty armament limitations and at least some of the reparitions. I think Britain and the US might be more sympathetic to this idea than the French. If not immediately, then with a Soviet presence on Germany's border, I do think at least some of Versailles will be rescended at some point.
-A Germany that is allowed to have a substantial army, and is viewed in the international community as some sort of anti-Communist bulwark, probably isn't going to have the feelings of bitterness and resentment that the Nazis so ably capitalized on. I think we might still see a right-wing anti-communist dictatorship, but not something so...extreme as OTL
-What happens to the Baltics in this scenario? I suspect that with Poland gone, they're pretty much done for unless Britain or France intervines.
-If Russia still sets up the Jewish Autonomous Oblast, might it be in some part of Poland that actually has a large native Jewish population?
-What of the future? The USSR will probably be percieved as more of a threat, so might we see an alliance system of Soviet Russia vs. everyone else in Europe emerge? If the Baltics survive, perhaps a Soviet attack on them could trigger *WWII
Other thoughts?
-Russia will likely set up a "Polish SSR" that would become a founding member of the USSR along with the RSFSR, Ukraine, Belarus, and Transcaucasia
-The Soviets' success in Poland will likely embolden them to attack Germany, possibly with help from whatever's left of the Spartacus movement. I highly doubt it will work, even considering the state the German army was in at the time.
-But, the mere prospect of a Soviet takeover of Germany will spook the hell out of Western Europe. Germany will probably use this to argue for the lifting of the Versailles Treaty armament limitations and at least some of the reparitions. I think Britain and the US might be more sympathetic to this idea than the French. If not immediately, then with a Soviet presence on Germany's border, I do think at least some of Versailles will be rescended at some point.
-A Germany that is allowed to have a substantial army, and is viewed in the international community as some sort of anti-Communist bulwark, probably isn't going to have the feelings of bitterness and resentment that the Nazis so ably capitalized on. I think we might still see a right-wing anti-communist dictatorship, but not something so...extreme as OTL
-What happens to the Baltics in this scenario? I suspect that with Poland gone, they're pretty much done for unless Britain or France intervines.
-If Russia still sets up the Jewish Autonomous Oblast, might it be in some part of Poland that actually has a large native Jewish population?
-What of the future? The USSR will probably be percieved as more of a threat, so might we see an alliance system of Soviet Russia vs. everyone else in Europe emerge? If the Baltics survive, perhaps a Soviet attack on them could trigger *WWII
Other thoughts?