Another possibility is the collapse of the Caucasian theater of ww1. In history, Russia pushed the Ottoman troops into Eastern part of Anatolia and then Enver Pasha led Ottomon troops pushed back and gained Baku. If Russian would collapse, the scale of the Armenian Genocide would have been greater. The Confederated nation of Georgia and Armenia could be stronger in union because both Georgian and Armenian leadership would know they could only rely on their own strength to fend off the Ottomans. The audacity of those two peoples could secure two nations after ww1. However, when Bolshevik revolution came around, could Georgia and Armenia new nations survive?