WI: Robert the Bruce killed at the Battle of Methven (1306)?

On June 19th, 1306, four or five months after the assassination of John Comyn, Scottish forces under Robert the Bruce suffered a defeat at, or near, the village of Methven, by English forces under Aymer de Valence, 2nd Earl of Pembroke, Edward I's maternal first cousin. Apparently, because he hadn't placed pickets around his camp, his entire army was routed during a night attack and Robert himself barely escaped and fled to the Highlands.

What if Robert had been captured or killed during the attack? Well, if he was captured, the English likely would have killed him anyway. Would the throne have passed to his daughter by Isabella of Mar, Marjory, one of his daughters by Elizabeth de Burgh, or one of his brothers (Nigel, Edward, Thomas, Alexander), assuming at least one of them doesn't get captured or executed as IOTL?

John Balliol had already retired to his family's estates in Picardy, France, so there's little chance of him coming back, but perhaps his son, Edward, might try. I'd guess Edward I of England would just try to continue his conquest of Scotland, but would Robert's death have made things easier, harder, or no different than IOTL?

Any thoughts?
 
New thought. If Robert is killed and Marjorie Bruce is still captured, as IOTL, would Edward I be tempted to break off his son's betrothal to Isabella of France and betroth him to Marjorie to try to gain control of Scotland via dynastic marriage, as he had tried with Margaret of Norway?
 
New thought. If Robert is killed and Marjorie Bruce is still captured, as IOTL, would Edward I be tempted to break off his son's betrothal to Isabella of France and betroth him to Marjorie to try to gain control of Scotland via dynastic marriage, as he had tried with Margaret of Norway?

This I think. There will still be push back on Scotland's part regardless.
 
This I think. There will still be push back on Scotland's part regardless.

Okay. Though with everything that's happened, even with primogeniture succession in place, wouldn't the Scots essentially treat "Margaret II" the same way they had treated John Balliol after his deposition? Or even not name Marjorie Queen at all and name one of Robert's brothers, or someone else entirely, as their new King, like with King Duncan II's son, William in the 11th and 12th centuries before?
 
I've thought a bit more about this, and even if Marjorie is captured, her stepmother and aunts imprisoned, her uncles Neil, Thomas and Alexander are executed as IOTL, and she is betrothed to Edward II, the Scots will still rally around Edward Bruce. IOTL, Edward Bruce was, along with Robert, the only one of the Bruce brothers to escape capture, and by this point, unlike Robert, he had already fathered a son.

I can see a situation similar to the Portuguese War of Succession, where Beatrice, daughter of King Ferdinand I, who was married to King John of Castille, would be overthrown or not even recognised as Queen in favour of an older male relative.
 
I can think of one other consequence - the loss of Gascony. Under the terms of the Treaty of Montreuil (1299), if Edward defaulted on it, Gascony would be forfeit. So Edward I and II may end up possibly gaining Scotland, but losing their last continental possession.

Maybe another possibility is that Edward II is still betrothed to Isabella of France, and Edward I instead decides to betroth one of his younger sons, Thomas or Edmund, to Marjorie.
 
Any more thoughts? Does anyone else find this interesting?

Another thought I've had is, if Edward I breaks the betrothal between his son and Isabella of France and betrothes Prince Edward to Marjorie, what Prince Edward and Marjorie themselves would have thought about all this. The more I think about it, the more traumatised I think Marjorie is going to be. I'm not too sure about Edward II, but historical records indicate he was actually looking forward to marrying Isabella of France (as always, I recommend this blog for anyone interested in OTL Edward II - http://edwardthesecond.blogspot.com.au/).
 
A few points I thought I'd bring up for discussion:

1. If Robert Bruce is killed, would his supporters have recognised his daughter, Marjorie, or one of his younger brothers are King? Apparently IOTL, in 1315, a year after Bannockburn and a year before Marjorie's death in childbirth, Edward Bruce was named as Robert's heir.
2. IOTL, Marjorie was captured and sent to a convent until 1314 after Bannockburn. If Marjorie is recognised as Queen after Methven but is still captured by the English, would the Scottish nobles have rallied behind her the way some nobles fought for John Balliol, or one of her uncles?
3. With Robert Bruce dead, would there still have been something similar to Bannockburn?

I've also decided that a marriage between Marjorie and Edward II would not have been in the cards, mainly because Edward I, in his eyes, had to maintain the French marriage alliance and did not recognise Robert Bruce as King of Scotland. However, I could also see this POD tying into another POD I've posited - the marriage negotiations between Edward II and Philip IV breaking down and Edward marrying Isabella of Castile instead.

Any thoughts?
 
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