WI: Robert La Follette joins TR's Progressive party.

Robert Marion "Fighting Bob" La Follette Sr is one of the most prominent politicians ever to come out of Wisconsin. Having already represented the state in the house and serving two full terms as Governor (and being elected to a third) he was elected to the Senate in 1905. While he would have a initially warm relationship with then President Teddy Roosevelt, his opinion would sour after Roosevelt would refuse to back a number of bills proposed by La Follette.

Fast forward to 1912 and La Follette is preparing to mount a primary challenge to incumbent President Howard Taft only to have his candidacy be completely overshadowed by Roosevelt's entry into the race. La Follette resisted calls to drop out and would spend much of the primaries attacking Roosevelt. As I'm sure most of you know, Roosevelt would win the majority of the primaries (La Follette and Taft would win two each) yet the convention would still vote to reelect Taft.

When Roosevelt and his supporters broke away to form the Progressive party, La Follette would not only refuse to follow suit but attacked Roosevelt as a traitor to the progressive cause. This would alienate many in the Progressive movement and would cost him his position as the leader of Progressive Republicans in the Senate.

IRL Roosevelt's Progressive party would fizzle out after his defeat being unable to put together a ticket for the 1916 election after Roosevelt refused while La Follette would remain a Republican in the Senate until the 1924 election when he founded his own version of the Progressive party for his presidential run. La Follette would also fail to capture the presidency and his party would quietly dissolve that same year.

But what if La Follette is able to overcome his personal distaste for Roosevelt and joins the original Progressive party? With his standing among Progressives preserved could he run for President sooner? Perhaps as early as 1916 if Roosevelt refuses the nomination as in otl?
 
I heard they hated each other so I doubt it happens. However, if TR is shot in 1912 in Milwaukee and dies and Hiram Johnson becomes the presidential candidate, maybe LaFollette gets a shot at the vice presidency if he wants it though probably would not want it.

I’m not sure if Johnson was friendly with LaFollette but if LaFollette takes charge, the progressives do expand, and you see mergers with them and the Farmer-Labor Party in Minnesota and the Nonpartisan League in North Dakota and you might form a progressive bloc that does well in the upper Midwest and northern west in Washington, Idaho and Montana but it still is a third party.

At best, you see it elect senators in Wisconsin like LaFollette, as well as in Minnesota, North Dakota and honestly such a party would probably include Hiram Johnson as Senator, as well as George Norris, Burton Wheeler, and Smith Brookhart.

If this happens, the party grows in the 30s and competes with the Republicans while the conservative Democrats control the south and liberal ones the northeast and Rust Belt cities. This renders the democrats quite weak in the Midwest and northwest and the Progressives compete against the Republicans in the upper Midwest, northern plains and northwest, meaning that the GOP either wins or the Progressives beat conservative republicans and democrats.

I’m not sure how this works with presidential politics though as FDR might still happen.
 
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