WI: Reagan's Assassin Succeeds?

What if the person who shot Reagan succeeded? Would the GOP use this as a rallying cause, or be set back by it? Just curious.
 
OTOH, Reagan will have been assassinated by a complete nut (instead of a commie or a terrorist) with a fixation for Jodie Foster and the midterms would be over one and a half years away, so the assassination may have only a minimal effect. The right-wing can't exactly call for a jihad on Jodie Foster, now can they?
 
OTOH, Reagan will have been assassinated by a complete nut (instead of a commie or a terrorist) with a fixation for Jodie Foster and the midterms would be over one and a half years away, so the assassination may have only a minimal effect. The right-wing can't exactly call for a jihad on Jodie Foster, now can they?

True, but who would replace him?
 
True, but who would replace him?

GHWB obviously.

GHWB in '80: This means Reagan's agenda gets through easier, but the fiscal policy is monetarism rather than supply-side and detente prevails through both terms instead of just the second. Smaller margin in '84 because Bush has no charisma.
 
The affect on the mid-terms would be fairly minimal, it happened at the beginning of Reagan's term.

I can't see how Bush could lose in 1984 if the economy remains in the same state as it did IOTL-but I agree with whoever said his margin of election will be narrower than the one Reagan received.

Wonder who Bush's Veep will be? It'll have to be a conservative, given Bush's fairly moderate policies.

I think the dems would win the 1988 election here in all likelyhood-they were ahead in the opening stages of the 88 campaign IOTL after all.
 
The Reagan tax and budget cuts are passed but maybe Bush makes a budget deal in 1983 like he did OTL in 1990. I assume that in the good economic times of 1988, Bob Dole wins but loses during the recession of 1992.
 
The affect on the mid-terms would be fairly minimal, it happened at the beginning of Reagan's term.

I can't see how Bush could lose in 1984 if the economy remains in the same state as it did IOTL-but I agree with whoever said his margin of election will be narrower than the one Reagan received.

Wonder who Bush's Veep will be? It'll have to be a conservative, given Bush's fairly moderate policies.

I think the dems would win the 1988 election here in all likelyhood-they were ahead in the opening stages of the 88 campaign IOTL after all.

Probably Paul Laxalt, as Reagan's closest friend in Congress it gives Bush even more of an LBJish sympathy boost.
 
2011 = 1982 because not only is there a recession but true to monetarism, Bush will cut government programs and spending. I believe hcallega and I talked about it in a thread about the same topic
 
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