alternatehistory.com

Bit of a wacky idea but:

In 1958, Rafael Trujillo the longtime dictator of the Dominican Republic, as part of his anti isolationist policies attempted to forge diplomatic relations with the Iranian State under recently empowered Muhammad Reza Shah.

During this time, he sent one of his most respected diplomats and a close personal friend, a Sephardic Jewish man named Leland Rosenberg to begin diplomatic and conmerical relations. The Shah, distrustful and somewhat antisemetic sends back an agent to negotiate a deal. Said agent is Teymour Bakhtair, an important SAVAK agent with the goal of assessing the situation.

Historically, the agent was of course captured and interrogated by the SIM because El Chivo doesnt let anything get passed him. Now negociations continue but remain limited as the Dominicans were very interested in selling the Iranians sugar in exchange for oil.

So far everything is historical. But what if Trujillo got angry and decided to get revenge? What if he sends back a SIM agent instead and attempts an assaasination attempt on the Shah? And what if that succeded?

How does the US state department (and everywhere from the Soviets to the Saudis) react to the bullwark of American foreign policy in the middle east getting thrown into chaos by a 4th rate power? Particularly given that 1958 was the Iraqi revolution.
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